About the
Project
The project, which was initiated and funded by the
Norwegian Ministry of the Environment, has been carried out by Ole Kristian
Fauchald of the Fridtjof Nansen Institute, and Haakon Vennemo of Vista
Analysis. Through the project we have had close dialogue with a team at Beijing
Normal University headed by Hu Tao and Mao Xianqiang.
This is the
first bilateral free trade agreement (FTA) negotiated by Norway on a bilateral
basis since 1992. Most such agreements have been negotiated through EFTA. So
far, there has been no procedure for environmental assessment of bilateral FTAs
in EFTA.
The Sino-Norwegian FTA can be classified as a 'broad trade
agreement', i.e. an agreement that often includes provisions on market access,
domestic regulation, services, investment, and intellectual property. In
addition to clauses aiming at ensuring the trade partners' ability to protect
the environment, many of these agreements also contain references to
environmental co-operation, either in the trade agreement itself or in a
separate agreement.
The project has been divided into an inception phase
and an analytical phase. The inception phase defined the topics and methods for
carrying out the analytical study. The analytical phase assessed the likely
impacts of the FTA for environmental policies, regulations and the physical
environment.
Inception
phase
The inception phase of the project took place from October
2010 to March 2011. The preliminary results, defining the topics and methods
for carrying out the analytical phase of the project, were presented as an
intermediary report in February, soliciting comments. The preliminary report
was also discussed at a public hearing on 4 March
2011. Input from the hearing process was subsequently incorporated, and a
final report from the inception
phase was published 14 April 2011.
The report contains the following
core elements:
1. The modalities of the environmental impact assessment
(EIA) - on the basis of recommendations of international institutions and
previous experiences with EIA, as well as the characteristics of the
Sino-Norwegian FTA negotiations, it will define the modalities of the EIA
project.
2. Screening - identification of sectors considered to be of
interest from an EIA perspective. The screening will take into account both the
potential for mitigating negative effects and the potential for enhancing
positive effects.
3. Scoping - selection of those sectors that seem to
be of most interest, selection of issues of interest and consideration of
system boundaries, as well as development of reference scenario or
situation.
4. A definition of the assessment methodologies to be
used.
Analytical phase
The analytical phase assessed
the likely impacts of the FTA for environmental policies, regulations and the
physical environment. The analysis covered the main parts of the FTA: Trade in
goods, trade in services and investments, and was limited to those parts of the
FTA that were assumed to have the greatest effects. The analysis is based on
scenarios setting out possible results of the negotiations. These scenarios
build on existing obligations in the WTO seen in conjunction with the public
documents that the negotiations are based upon. The authors have only had
access to information concerning the negotiations that is available to the
public.
The Final Report contains the following core elements:
1.
The details of a baseline scenario.
2. Two scenarios based on possible
outcomes of the negotiations - a free trade scenario and a green trade
scenario.
3. Screening and scoping in light of input from consultations
with public authorities, non-governmental organizations and the team of Chinese
researchers.
4. Five case studies that focus on effects of the FTA on
trade and investment between Norway and China, and the resulting environmental
consequences.
5. Five regulatory studies that focus on effects of the
FTA for environmental rules and policy.
Some assessment processes set up
a framework for monitoring and follow up of issues identified as relevant for
such purposes in the assessment - this is not part of the mandate for this
assessment. |