| FNI PROJECTS
Scenarios for the Development of Barents
The purpose of this project is to produce a set of
possible scenarios for development in the Russian part of the Barents Region
until 2015. The ten past years have brought historic changes in Russia and in
the relations between Russia and the neighbouring countries. Yet, the 10-15
coming years may bring even more profound changes.
It has always been a
challenge for decision-makers and observers to understand and predict
developments in Russia and Barents Russia is no exception.
Decision-makers and the public at large would benefit from a deeper
understanding of the driving forces for change and how important actors may
respond, and this is the motivation for carrying out this scenario
The project uses well-proven future foresight methodology to
construct a set of thought-provoking scenarios about developments in Barents
Russia towards 2015 In the first part of the project various thematic
sub-reports are worked out, focusing on status and important trends. FNI's
contributions are mainly in the field of oil and gas development, the
environment and fisheries. In the second phase the scenarios are constructed,
based on the various sub-reports.
Brunstad, Bjørn, Eivind
Magnus, Philip Swanson, Geir Hønneland and Indra Øverland,
Big Oil Playground, Russian Bear Preserve or European Periphery? The Russian
Barents Sea Region towards 2015. EBURON Academic Publishers, October
2004. 218 p.
Moe, Arild, Oil Transportation through the Barents
Sea. Project Barents Russia 2015 - Working Paper 11. Oslo, Econ Analysis,
2004. 11 p.
Hønneland, Geir, Jørgen Holten
Jørgensen and Morten Bremer Mærli, The environment of Barents
Russia: driving forces and key actors. Project Barents Russia 2015 -
Working Paper. Oslo, ECON Analysis, 2004, 36 p.
Moe, Arild, Offshore
Activities in the Russian Barents Sea. Project Barents Russia 2015 -
Working Paper 10. Oslo, Econ Analysis, 2004, 40 p.
|Related focal points of
Polar and Russian
Norwegian Ministry of Foreign
Norwegian Ministry of Trade and
Norwegian Ministry of Oil and
Related FNI document:
FNI ('FNI's Research on the High North'). Presentation brochure in
Norwegian (PDF , 0.6 Mb)