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FNI PROJECTS
Russian and Caspian Energy Developments and Their
Implications for Norway and Norwegian Actors (RUSSCASP)
This
research programme will expand the understanding of the long-term outlook for
three issue clusters of strategic relevance for Norway: 1. Russia and the
Caspian region as arenas for foreign energy companies. 2. Driving forces and
conditions for Russian and Caspian energy exports. 3. Energy developments in
the High North.
These issues will be revisited repeatedly throughout the
programme. But to understand and forecast developments in these issues we need
to address more fundamental tendencies. In our previous research, we have
identified three recurrent energy themes in Russian and Caspian politics: 1.
Control of the oil and gas industries and revenue streams. 2. Concern for
the energy balance. 3. The link between energy and foreign
policy.
These concerns, the way they will be addressed by Russia and the
Caspian states, and the factors and driving forces that will influence their
relative focus and interpretation, are at the centre of this
programme.
The project is organized as a consortium with FNI, NUPI and
Econ Pöyry as main partners.
RUSSCASP Website:
www.fni.no/russcasp/
Project leader: Arild
Moe
Project period:
2008-2013
Publications:
Gabriel, Steven A., Arild Moe,
Knut Einar Rosendahl and Marina Tsygankova,
'The Likelihood and Potential
Implications of a Natural Gas Cartel'. In Roger Fouquet (ed), Handbook
on Energy and Climate Change. Cheltenham (UK), Edward Elgar, 2013, pp.
86-102.
Bergsager, Henrik, China, Russia and Central Asia: The
energy dilemma. FNI Report 16/2012. Lysaker, FNI, 2012, 20
p.
Moe, Arild,
'Po tonkomu l'du'
('On Thin Ice'), Nezavisimaya Gazeta, 13.12.2011. In
Russian.
Moe, Arild, Daniel Fjærtoft and Indra Øverland,
'Space and Timing: 'Why was
the Barents Sea Delimitation Dispute Resolved in 2010?' Polar
Geography, Vol 34, No 3, 2011, pp. 145-162.
Moe, Arild,
'Energeticheskie
strategii Rossii i Norvegii v Barentsevom more' ('Russian and Norwegian Energy
Strategies in the Barents Sea'). In N.A. Simoniya (ed), Arktika -
Interesy Rossii: Energetika, Ekologiya. Moscow, EkoPolitika, 2011, pp.
71-104. In Russian.
Moe, Arild,
'Russian and Norwegian
Petroleum Strategies in the Barents Sea'. Arctic Review on Law and
Politics, Vol 1, No 2, 2010, pp. 225-248.
Moe, Arild and
Anne-Kristin Jørgensen, 'Delelinja er alt nå
på stell?' ('The Delimitation Line Is Everything Now in
Order?'), Nordlys, 07.12.2010. In Norwegian.
Daniel Buikema
Fjærtoft and Arild Moe, The Barents Sea
Delimitation Agreement: Explanations and Implications. RUSSCASP Working
Paper, October 2010, 27 p. (Access restricted)
Moe, Arild,
'Russisk rulett' ('Russian
Roulette'). In Arbo, Peter and Bjørn Hersoug (eds),
Oljevirksomhetens inntog i nord: Næringsutvikling, politikk og
samfunn. Oslo, Gyldendal Akademisk, 2010, pp. 282-304. In
Norwegian.
Røland, Tonje Hulbak,
Associated Petroleum Gas in Russia:
Reasons for Non-utilization. FNI Report 13/2010. Lysaker, FNI, 2010, 53
p.
Moe, Arild and Valery Kryukov,
'Oil Exploration in
Russia: Prospects for Reforming a Crucial Sector'. Eurasian Geography
and Economics, Vol 51, No 3, 2010, pp. 312-329.
Kjærnet,
Heidi,
'The
State Oil Company SOCAR: A Microcosm of Azerbaijani Development?',
Caucasus Analytical Digest, No 16, April 2010, pp. 5-8.
Moe,
Arild, 'Shtokman fortsatt
interessant' ('Shtokman Still of Interest'), Nordlys,
29.03.2010. In Norwegian.
Johansen, Roger,
Russland - En elefant i glassmagasinet?
Russiske gassrelasjoner med Ukraina ('Russia - an Elephant in the China Shop?
Russian Gas Relations with Ukraine'). FNI Report 12/2009. Lysaker, FNI,
2009, 84 p. In Norwegian.
Moe, Arild,
'Sjtokman hva skjer?'
('Shtokman What is Happening?'), Nordlys, 24 July 2009. In
Norwegian.
Moe, Arild and Elana Wilson Rowe,
'Northern
Offshore Oil and Gas Resources: Policy Challenges and Approaches'. In
Wilson Rowe, Elana (ed), Russia and the North. Ottawa, University of
Ottawa Press, 2009, pp. 107-128.
Johansen, Roger,
'Russland med
Gazprom i hånd' ('Gazprom as a Political Weapon?'), Nordlys,
28 May 2009. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe and Elana Wilson Rowe,
Northern Offshore Oil and Gas
Resources: Russian Policy Challenges and Approaches. RUSSCASP Working
Paper, June 2008, 21 p.
Arild Moe,
Status of Legislation for
Foreign Investment in the Russian Petroleum Sector and on the Continental
Shelf. RUSSCASP Research Note, 22 April 2008.
Moe, Arild, 'Think
of Russia as an asset, not a risk', Parliamentary Brief, Vol 11, No 12,
22 July 2008.
Many more publications on the
RUSSCASP Website |
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Project funding:

Research Council of Norway
(PETROSAM program)
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Recent media coverage:
'Spiller
stormaktene mot hverandre' ('Plays Great Powers out Against Each Other'),
Aftenposten, 08.12.2012. In Norwegian.
'Proverka forumom'
('Test Forum'), ekspert.ru, 04.06.2012. In Russian.
'Analytiker:
Ikke åpenbart at Statoil forlater Sjtokman' ('Analyst: Not Obvious that
Statoil will Leave Shtokman'), E24, 25.05.2012. In
Norwegian.
'Amnesty
criticises Statoil over Rosneft deal', Aftenbladet,
14.05.2012.
'Statoil
får Rosneft-kritikk' ('Statoil Criticized over Rosneft Deal'),
Aftenbladet, 14.05.2012. In Norwegian.
'Ekspert udivlen tem chto Fedinskoye i
Tsentral'no-Berentsevskoye mestorozhdeniya poluchila "ENI", a ne "Statoil"'
('Expert surprised that ENI and not Statoil got Fedinskoye and Central-Barents
fields'), oilru.com, 11.05.2012. In Russian.
'Questions
Rise over Big Oil Deal', Views and News from Norway,
09.05.2012.
'-
Statoil får de minst attraktive delene' ('- Statoil Gets the Least
Attractive Parts'), Dagens Næringsliv, 08.05.2012. In
Norwegian.
'Statoils
gigantavtale med Rosneft: - Ugunstige og risikable forhold' ('Statoil's Giant
Agreement with Rosneft: - Unfavourable and Risky Conditions'), Teknisk
Ukeblad, 08.05.2012. In Norwegian.
'-
Det er gigantiske leteområder med et gigantisk potensial' ('- Gigantic
Acreage with a Gigantic Potential'), E24, 07.05.2012. In
Norwegian.
'Symbolprosjektet
i Russland' ('Shtokman: The Symbol Project in Russia'), Oilinfo,
13.04.2012. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Én måned
til Shtokman-deadline' ('One Month until Shtokman Deadline'), Teknisk
Ukeblad, 09.11.2011. In Norwegian.
'Lukoil eyes ex-disputed area',
BarentsNova, 20.09.2011.
'Statoils risikojeger' (Statoil's Risk
Hunter'), Budstikka, 07.09.2011. In Norwegian.
'Russlands
største oljeselskap med en fot på norsk sokkel' ('Russland Largest
Oil Company Gains Foothold on the Norwegian Continental Shelf'),
E24, 16.08.2011. In Norwegian.
'Ingen Barents-aktivitet
før 2013' ('No Barents Activity until 2013'), Teknisk
Ukeblad, 15.06.2011. In Norwegian. 'Bez ostanovki'
('Without Stop'), Expert.ru, 18.04.2011. In Russian.
'V
tovarischakh soglase est' ('Agreement among comrades'), Expert.ru,
18.04.2011. In Russian.
'-
Statoil vil slite med å tjene penger på Stockman' ('- Statoil Will
Have a Hard Time Earning Money on Shtokman'), E24, 03.04.2011. In
Norwegian.
'Avviser nok en
Shtokman-utsettelse' ('Statoil Denies another Shtokman Postponement'),
Teknisk Ukeblad, 22.02.2011. In Norwegian.
'Der
9-Billionen-Dollar-Schatz unter dem Eis' ('The 9-Billion Dollar Treasure Under
the Ice'), Frankfurt Allgemeine Zeitung, 20.01.2011. In
German.
'Russians
want access to Norwegian oil', Barents Observer,
04.01.2011.
'Russerne vil inn i norsk
olje' ('The Russians Want to Participate in Norwegian Petroleum
Production'), Teknisk Ukeblad, 03.01.2011. In Norwegian.
'Vil sikre Europa
eigen gass' ('Will Provide Europe with Its Own Gas'), forskning.no,
14.10.2010. In Norwegian.
'Hvor
går bjørnen i øst?' ('Where is the Eastern Bear
Going?'), Petro.no, 17.09.2010. In Norwegian.
'Missiya
vipolnima' ('Mission Possible'), Expert.ru, 06.09.2010. In
Russian.
'LNG
på Shtokman forblir en drøm' ('Shtokman LNG Remains a Dream'),
Dagens Næringsliv, 09.08.2010. In Norwegian.
'Energiforsker:
Tøffere for Russlands naboer' ('Energy Researcher: Tougher Times Ahead
for Russia's Neighbours'), Research Council of Norway News,
23.06.2010. In Norwegian.
'Olje kan ha skapt
enighet' ('Oil May Have Led to Agreement'), Dagsavisen, 28.04.2010.
In Norwegian.
'Vet ikke hvor store
rikdommer som venter i nord' ('Don't Know What Riches Awaits in the
North'), E24, 27.04.2010. In Norwegian.
'Tror på
utbygging om 15 år' ('Believes in Petroleum Development in 15
Years'), Finnmark Dagblad, 27.04.2010. In Norwegian.
'Åpner for mulig
olje-bonanza' ('Will Open up for a Possible Oil Bonanza'), Dagens
Næringsliv, 27.04.2010. In Norwegian.
'-
Er trolig enorme gassressurser der' ('- The Areas Probably Contain Vast Gas
Resources'), Dagbladet, 27.04.2010. In Norwegian.
'Europa trenger gass
fra Sibir' ('Europe Needs Siberian Gas'), forskning.no, 29.03.2010.
In Norwegian.
'Svart
gull i aust' ('Black Gold in the East'), Research Council of Norway
News, 11.01.2010. In Norwegian.
'Neppe stor fart på
russisk sokkel' ('Russian Shelf Probably Not to Be Developed Quickly'),
NTB, 16 August 2009. In Norwegian.
'Lærer av
Telenors Russland-mareritt' ('Learning from Telenor's Russia Nightmare'),
Dagsavisen, 22 July 2009. In Norwegian.
'Nye ressursanslag for Barentshavet fra US Geological Survey' ('New Resource Estimates for The Barents Sea from USGS'), (web radio), Verdt å vite - NRK P2, 29 May 2009. In Norwegian.
'Norja
epäilee Shtokmanin maakaasukentän toteutumista' ('Norway Doubts
Whether Shtokman Gas Field Will Materialise'). Teknikka &
Talous, 4 March 2009. In Finnish.
'Gasskonflikt mellom Russland
og Ukraina' ('The Gas Conflict between Russia and the Ukraine') (web
radio), NRK Dagsnytt 18, 2 January 2009. In Norwegian.
Gazprom har
lånetrøbbel ('Gazprom Has Problems Borrowing'), E24, 21
December 2008. In Norwegian.
'Problemer med
Prirazlomnoe?' ('Problems with Prirazlomnoye?'), Oilinfo, 19
December 2008. In Norwegian.
'Mnogofaktornaya
stoimost mestorozhdeniy' ('The Multifactored Value of Fields'), NG
Energiya, 9 December 2008. In Russian.
'Sjtokman-prisen
eksploderer' ('The Price of Shtokman Explodes'), Teknisk Ukeblad, 24
October 2008. In Norwegian.
'-
Risky to Invest in Russia', Barents Observer, 26 August
2008.
'StatoilHydro-interesse for
Jamal' ('StatoilHydro Interested in Yamal'), Teknisk Ukeblad, 20
August 2008. In Norwegian.
'Gir Gazprom
og Rosneft enerett' ('Russia Gives Gazprom and Rosneft Exclusive Rights to
Offshore Resources'), Dagens Næringsliv, 17 April 2008. In
Norwegian.
'Avdramatiserer
om Shtokman' ('Playing down Shtokman Investment Worries'),
Økonomisk Rapport, 4 April 2008. In Norwegian
Sår
tvil om Shtokman ('Doubts about Shtokman'), PETRO & industri,
14.02.2008. In Norwegian.
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