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RUSSCASP RESEARCH:
Oil and Gas Developments in
Russia
Global energy security is crucially dependent on
Russian exports of oil and gas. The country's resources gives Russia
significant market potential for international oil and gas companies who see
accessable resources decline around the world. However, while Russia has become
ever more oil dependent, output has ceased to grow and many now question
whether Russian oil production has peaked. If oil prices do not remain record
high, Russia will run a budget and current account deficit in only a couple
years if output is not boosted.
RUSSCASP looks into the drivers behind
Russian petroluem development and policy applying economic and policy
perspectives to sectoral issues, macrodynamics and geopolitics.
Publications
Academic publications
Steven A.
Gabriel, Arild Moe, Knut Einar Rosendahl and Marina Tsygankova,
'The Likelihood and Potential
Implications of a Natural Gas Cartel'. In Roger Fouquet (ed), Handbook
on Energy and Climate Change. Cheltenham (UK), Edward Elgar, 2013, pp.
86-102.
Special section on the Arctic in EKO - All-Russian Economic Journal, 4 (466)
2013, including:
 |
Daniel Fjærtoft and Lars Lunden: 'Dvadtsat' let
osvoeniya, a nefti do sikh por net - Prirazlomnoe, pervyj muchitel'ny
arkticheskiy shelfovyj proekt Rossii' ('Twenty years of development and still
no oil: Prirazlomnoe - Russia's troublesome first Arctic offshore project') pp.
56-77. |
 |
Pavel Baev: 'Neftegazovye problemy vo vneshney
politike Rossii' ('Oil and Gas Problems in Russia's Foreign Policy'), pp.
78-93. |
 |
A brief introduction to RussCasp by Arild Moe, pp.
56-57. |
Andreas Benedictow, Daniel Fjærtoft and Ole
Løfsnæs, 'Oil dependency of the
Russian economy: An econometric analysis'. Economic Modelling, Vol
32, 2013, pp. 400-428.
Indra Øverland and Hilde Kutschera:
'Subsidised
Energy and Hesitant Elites in Russia'. In John-Andrew McNeish and Owen
Logan (eds): Flammable Societies: Studies on the Socio-Economics of Oil and
Gas, Pluto Press, 2012, pp. 201-218.
Indra Overland, Jakub
Godzimirski, Lars Petter Lunden and Daniel Fjaertoft:
'Rosneft's offshore
partnerships: the re-opening of the Russian petroleum frontier?'. Polar
Record, online version, 02.04.2012, 14 p.
Marte Ulvestad and Indra
Overland: 'Natural Gas
and CO2 price variation: Impact on the relative cost-efficiency of LNG and
pipelines'. International Journal of Environmental Studies, Vol 69,
No 3, pp. 407-426, 2012, ISSN 0020-7233.
Jakub M. Godzimirski and
Ekaterina Demakova:
'Russian
External Energy Strategy: Opportunities and Constraints'. In Caroline
Kuzemko, Andreas Goldthau, Andrei Belyi and Michael Keating (eds): Dynamics
of Energy Governance in Europe and Russia, Palgrave Macmillan, 2012, pp.
149 -168.
Julia S.P. Loe and Olga Ladehaug:
'Reducing gas flaring
in Russia: Gloomy outlook in times of economic insecurity', Energy
Policy, Vol 50, November 2012, pp. 507-517.
Indra Overland, Jakub
Godzimirski, Lars Petter Lunden and Daniel Fjaertoft,
'Rosneft's offshore
partnerships: the re-opening of the Russian petroleum frontier?'. Polar
Record, online version, 02.04.2012, 14 p.
Arild Moe, Daniel
Fjærtoft and Indra Øverland:
'Space and Timing: 'Why was
the Barents Sea Delimitation Dispute Resolved in 2010?', Polar
Geography, No 3, Vol 34, 2011, pp. 145-162. (Access
restricted)
Jakub M. Godzimirski:
'Russlands eksterne
energistrategi: Utfordringer og muligheter'. Nordisk
Østforum, No 2, 2011, pp.117-138.
Jakub M. Godzimirski,
'Russie -
Scandinavie: les liaisons dangereuse?'. Outre-Terre, No 1, 2011,
pp.57-74.
Indra Overland and Hilde Kutschera:
'Pricing
Pain: The Politics of Natural Gas for Russian Households'. Europe-Asia
Studies, No 2, Vol 63, 2011, pp. 311-329.
Indra Øverland:
'Kooperation
statt Konfrontation: tokman, Jamal und Russlands Energiepolitik in der
Arktis'. Osteuropa, No 2-3, Vol 61, 2011, pp. 129-142.
Robert
Orttung and Indra Overland:
'Russia
and the Formation of a Gas Cartel'. Problems of Post-Communism, No
3, Vol 58, 2011, pp. 53-66.
Robert Orttung and Indra Overland:
'A
limited toolbox: Explaining the constraints on Russia's foreign energy
policy'. Journal of Eurasian Studies, No 1, Vol 2, 2011, pp.
74-85.
Victor Jensen and Indra Overland:
'Et blikk på
Sjtokmanprosjektets blindsone: fransk-russiske relasjoner'.
Internasjonal politikk, No 3, Vol 69, 2011, pp. 387-411.
Indra
Øverland:
'La politique
énergétique de la Russie en Arctique'. Études
internationales, No 2, Vol 42, 2011, pp. 145-158.
Andrei Belyi,
Indra Øverland and Anna Vishnyakova:
'Challenges
to Russia's post-Rao UES energy paradigm: a window of opportunity for
sustainable market development', Journal of World Energy Law and
Business, No 2, Vol 4, 2011, pp. 181-192.
Julie Wilhelmsen and Elana
Wilson Rowe (eds): Russia's
Encounter with Globalization: Actors, Processes and Critical Moments,
Basingstoke/New York, Palgrave Macmilllan, 2011, 248 p.
Julie Wilhelmsen
and Elana Wilson Rowe:
'Introduction'.
In Julie Wilhelmsen and Elana Wilson Rowe (eds): Russia's Encounter with
Globalization: Actors, Processes and Critical Moments, Basingstoke/New
York, Palgrave Macmilllan, 2011, pp. 1-14.
Elana Wilson Rowe:
'Encountering
Climate Change'. In Julie Wilhelmsen and Elana Wilson Rowe (eds):
Russia's Encounter with Globalization: Actors, Processes and Critical
Moments, Basingstoke/New York, Palgrave Macmilllan, 2011, pp.
40-70.
Julian Cooper:
'Russia and
the Global Financial-Economic Crisis'. In Julie Wilhelmsen and Elana Wilson
Rowe (eds): Russia's Encounter with Globalization: Actors, Processes and
Critical Moments, Basingstoke/New York, Palgrave Macmilllan, 2011, pp.
71-96.
Indra Øverland:
'Close
Encounters: Russian Policymaking and International Oil Companies'. In Julie
Wilhelmsen and Elana Wilson Rowe (eds): Russia's Encounter with
Globalization: Actors, Processes and Critical Moments, Basingstoke/New
York, Palgrave Macmilllan, 2011, pp. 134-158.
Jakub M. Godzimirski:
'Nord Stream:
Globalization in the Pipeline?'. In Julie Wilhelmsen and Elana Wilson Rowe
(eds): Russia's Encounter with Globalization: Actors, Processes and Critical
Moments, Basingstoke/New York, Palgrave Macmilllan, 2011, pp.
159-184.
Julie Wilhelmsen and Elana Wilson Rowe:
'Conclusion'.
In Julie Wilhelmsen and Elana Wilson Rowe (eds): Russia's Encounter with
Globalization: Actors, Processes and Critical Moments, Basingstoke/New
York, Palgrave Macmilllan, 2011, pp. 216-230.
Jakub M. Godzimirski:
Nordic
Approaches to Energy Security: Lessons for Ukraine?, SUREC Policy
Paper, Bratislava, Research Centre of the Slovak Foreign Policy Association,
2011, 37 p.
Arild Moe:
'Energeticheskie
strategii Rossii i Norvegii v Barentsevom more' ('Russian and Norwegian Energy
Strategies in the Barents Sea'). In N.A. Simoniya (ed): Arktika -
Interesy Rossii: Energetika, Ekologiya. Moscow, EkoPolitika, 2011, pp.
71-104. In Russian.
Indra Øverland:
'Russia's
Arctic Energy Policy'. International Journal, No 4, Vol 65, 2010,
pp. 865-878.
Grant Dansie, Marc Lanteigne and Indra Øverland:
'Reducing Energy Subsidies in
Russia, China and India: Dilemmas for Decision-Makers'.
Sustainability, No 2, Vol 2, 2010, pp. 475-493.
Arild Moe:
'Russian and Norwegian
Petroleum Strategies in the Barents Sea'. Arctic Review on Law and
Politics, Vol 1, No 2, 2010, pp. 225-248.
Pavel K. Baev and Indra
Øverland:
'The
South Stream versus Nabucco pipeline race: Geopolitical and economic
(ir)rationales and political stakes in mega-project'. International
Affairs, Vol 86, No 5, 2010, pp. 1075-1090. (Access
restricted)
Arild Moe:
'Russisk Rulett' ('Russian
Roulette'). In Peter Arbo and Bjørn Hersoug (eds),
Oljevirksomhetens inntog i nord: Næringsutvikling, politikk og
samfunn. Oslo, Gyldendal Akademisk, 2010, pp. 282-304. In
Norwegian.
Louis Skyner:
'The
Reform of the Russian Power Sector: The Rhetoric and Reality',
Europe-Asia Studies, No 8, Vol 62, 2010, pp. 1383-1402.
Dmitri
Trenin and Pavel K. Baev: The Arctic: A
View from Moscow. Washington, Carnegie Endowment for International
Peace, 2010, 32 p.
Indra Øverland:
'The
Surge in Unconventional Gas: Implications for Russian Export Strategies'.
Baltic Rim Economies, No 1, 2010, pp. 18-19.
Indra
Øverland: 'Subsidies for Fossil
Fuels and Climate and Climate Change: A Comparative Perspective'.
International Journal of Environmental Studies, Vol 67, No 3, 2010, pp.
273-288.
Indra Øverland:
'The Siberian Curse: A
Blessing in Disguise for Renewable Energy?'. Sibirica, Journal of
Siberian Studies, Vol 9, No 2, 2010. (Access
restricted)
Heidi Kjærnet:
'Strategic
resources, strategic players: The role of national versus international oil
companies in Post-Soviet Eurasia'. In Maria Freire and Roger Kanet (eds):
Key Players and Regional Dynamics in Eurasia: The Return of the 'Great
Game'. Basingstoke, Palgrave Macmillan, 2010, pp. 271-289.
Arild Moe
and Valery Kryukov, 'Oil Exploration in
Russia: Prospects for Reforming a Crucial Sector'. Eurasian Geography
and Economics, Vol 51, No 3, 2010, pp. 312-329. (Access
restricted)
Indra Øverland, Stina Torjesen and Heidi
Kjærnet: 'Introduction. China and Russia: Partners or Firewalls for the
Caspian Petro-States?'. In Øverland, I., H. Kjærnet and A.
Kendall-Taylor (eds):
Caspian
Energy Politics: Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan. Routledge,
2010, pp. 93-100.
Heidi Kjærnet: 'Azerbaijani-Russian Relations
and the Economization of Foreign Policy'. In Øverland, I., H.
Kjærnet and A. Kendall-Taylor (eds):
Caspian
Energy Politics: Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan. Routledge,
2010, pp. 150-161.
Indra Øverland and Heidi Kjærnet: Russian
Renewable Energy. The Potential for International Cooperation. Ashgate,
2009, 190 p.
Daniel Buikema Fjærtoft,
'Russian Gas - Has the 2009 economic crisis
changed Russian gas fundamentals?', BOFIT Online, pp. 9-21,
10/2009.
Morten Anker, 'The High North
and Russo-Norwegian bilateral economic relations', BOFIT Online, pp.
32-41, 10/2009.
Daniel Buikema Fjærtoft,
'Reflections on Modeling the Russian
Economy', BOFIT Online, pp. 49-53, 10/2009.
Indra
Øverland and Kyrre Brækhus,
'Chinese Perspectives
on Russian Oil and Gas'. In Jeronim Perovic, Robert Orttung and Andreas
Wenger (eds), Russian Energy Power and Foreign Relations. London,
Routledge, 2009, pp. 201-221. (Access restricted)
Arild Moe and
Elana Wilson Rowe, 'Northern Offshore Oil
and Gas Resources: Policy Challenges and Approaches'. In Elana Wilson Rowe
(ed), Russia and the North. Ottawa, University of Ottawa Press, 2009,
pp. 107-128. (Access restricted)
Jakub Godzimirski:
'The
Northern Dimension of the Russian Gas Strategy'. Russian Analytical
Digest, No 58, April 2009, pp. 2-4.
Elana Wilson Rowe,
'Who is to Blame?
Agency, Causality, Responsibility and the Role of Experts in Russian Framings
of Global Climate Change'. Europe-Asia Studies, Vol 61, No 4, 2009,
pp. 593-619. (Access restricted)
Nina Poussenkova:
'Gazprom
and Russia's Great Eastern Pipe-Dreams'. Russian Analytical Digest,
No 58, pp. 5-10.
Heidi Kjærnet: 'The Energy
Dimension of AzerbaijaniRussian Relations: Maneuvering for
Nagorno-Karabakh'. In Russian Analytical Digest, No 56, 3 March 2009
(Special issue: 'Russias Energy Relations to Its Caspian
Neighbors'), pp. 2-5.
Stina Torjesen: 'Russia
and Kazakhstan: A Special Relationship'. In Russian Analytical
Digest, No 56, 3 March 2009 (Special issue: 'Russias Energy
Relations to Its Caspian Neighbors'), pp. 6-8.
Indra
Øverland: 'Natural Gas and RussiaTurkmenistan
Relations'. In Russian Analytical Digest, No 56, 3 March 2009
(Special issue: 'Russias Energy Relations to Its Caspian
Neighbors'), pp. 9-13.
Jeronim Perovic and Robert W.
Orttung: 'Russia's Role for
Global Energy Security'. In Andreas Wenger, Robert Orttung and Jeronim
Perovic (eds): Energy and the Transformation of International Relations:
Toward a New Producer-Consumer Framework. Oxford University Press, 2009,
pp. 117-159. (Access restricted)
Indra Øverland:
'The Dynamics of Energy in the Eurasian
Context' (book review). Nordisk østforum, Vol 22, No 1, 2008,
pp. 117-119. In Norwegian.
Indra Øverland:
'Shtokman
and Russia's Arctic Petroleum Frontier'. Russian Analytical Digest,
No. 33, January 2008, pp. 8-12.
Elana Wilson Rowe:
'Regional
Influence in Oil and Gas Development: A Case Study of Sakhalin'. Russian
Analytical Digest, No 33, January 2008, pp. 18-21.
Jakub
Godzimirski: 'Putin and
Post-Soviet Identity: Building Blocks and Buzz Words'. Problems of
Post-Communism, Vol 55, No 5, 2008, pp. 14-27.
RUSSCASP
Working Papers
Lars Petter Lunden and Daniel Fjærtoft,
Twenty years of development and still no
oil: Prirazlomnoe - Russias troublesome first Arctic offshore
project. RUSSCASP Working Paper, December 2012.
Henrik
Bergsager: China, Russia and
Central Asia: The energy dilemma. FNI Report 16/2012. Lysaker, FNI,
2012, 20 p.
Julia S.P. Loe: Russian
Gas Reform under Putin III: Stakeholder Perspectives on the New Commercial
Reality. RUSSCASP Working Paper, June 2012. (Access
restricted)
Daniel Fjærtoft and Lars Petter Lunden: Failing
Liberal Reforms and Gazproms Entry to the Power Sector. RUSSCASP
Working Paper, June 2012. (Access restricted)
Lars Petter Lunden
and Daniel Fjærtoft: Gazprom
vs. other Russian gas producers: Friends or foes? RUSSCASP Working
Paper, June 2012. (Access restricted)
Morten Anker and
Bjørn Brunstad: Building Scenarios for
Russia. RUSSCASP Working Paper, June 2012.
Valeriy Kryukov and
Arild Moe: The natural gas
sector in Russia: Structure, role and challenges. RUSSCASP Working
Paper, March 2012. (Access restricted)
Julia S.P. Loe and Olga
Ladehaug: Reducing
Gas Flaring in Russia: Gloomy Outlook in Times of Economic Insecurity.
RUSSCASP Working Paper, February 2012. (Access restricted)
Heidi
Kjærnet: Actors,
Interests and Trade-Offs: Explaining the Status of Reform in the Russian Gas
Sector. RUSSCASP Working Paper, January 2012, 25 p. (Access
restricted)
Indra Øverland, Lars Petter Lunden, Daniel
Fjærtoft and Jakub Godzimirski: Open
for Business? Rosnefts Offshore Surge. RUSSCASP Working Paper,
November 2011, 21 p. (Access restricted)
Michael Bradshaw: Russian energy dilemmas:
energy security, globalization and climate change. RUSSCASP Working
Paper, September 2011, 29 p. (Access restricted)
Lars Petter
Lunden and Daniel Fjærtoft, Russian
Exports to the EU - What is the Impact of Domestic Gas Price Reform?.
RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2011, 21 p. (Access
restricted)
Valeriy Kryukov and Arild Moe: Development of the Russian
Oil Sector. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2011, 24 p. (Access
restricted)
Pavel K. Baev: The Shrinking
Eurasian Energy Security Agenda: Taking Stock of the Over-Blown
Debates. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2011, 13 p. (Access
restricted)
Ryan Kennedy and Lydia Tiede: Oil and Good
Governance: Do Oil Resources Lead to Weak Institutions? RUSSCASP
Working Paper, April 2011, 34 p. (Access
restricted)
Ryan Kennedy and Lydia Tiede: Nationalization
of the Oil Sector: A Political Economy Perspective. RUSSCASP
Working Paper, April 2011, 23 p. (Access
restricted)
Lars-Christian Talseth: A Dialogue of the Deaf: The
EU-Russia Energy Dialogue 2000-2009. RUSSCASP Working Paper,
April 2011, 86 p. (Access restricted)
Daniel
Buikema Fjærtoft and Arild Moe, The Barents Sea
Delimitation Agreement: Explanations and Implications. RUSSCASP Working
Paper, October 2010, 27 p. (Access restricted)
Pavel K.
Baev and Indra Øverland: The South
Stream versus Nabucco pipeline race: Geopolitical and economic (ir)rationales
and political stakes in mega-project. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September
2010, 22 p. (Access restricted)
Robert Orttung and Indra
Øverland, A Re-evaluation
of GECF and the Prospects for Cartelisation in Light of New Developments in
Global Gas Markets. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2010, 23 p.
(Access restricted)
Victor Jensen and Indra Øverland,
Total,
fransk-russiske relasjoner og implikasjoner for Sjtokman-prosjektet og norske
interesser ('Total, French-Russian Relations and Implications for the Shtokman
Project and Norwegian Interests'), RUSSCASP Working Paper,
September 2010, 34 p. In Norwegian. (Access
restricted)
Turid Vaage and Indra Øverland:
Effekten
av konflikter mellom Russland og Vesten på det økonomiske
forholdet mellom Norge og Russland ('The Effect of Russian-Western Conflicts on
Norwegian-Russian Economic Relations'), RUSSCASP Working Paper,
September 2010, 19 p. In Norwegian. (Access
restricted)
Jakub M. Godzimirski, Strategic
Decision Making in Russian Energy Sector: The Case of Nord Stream.
RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2010, 62 p. (Access
restricted)
Tonje Hulbak Røland:
Associated Petroleum Gas in Russia:
Reasons for Non-utilization. FNI Report 13/2010. Lysaker, FNI, 2010, 53
p. (Master thesis)
Morten Anker, Ida Aronsen, Daniel
Fjærtoft and Hans Traaholt,
A
Tailored Country Risk Model for Russia. RUSSCASP Working Paper, May
2010, 26 p.
Indra Øverland,
The
Politics of Russia's Arctic Hydrocarbons. RUSSCASP Working Paper, April
2010, 12 p. (Access restricted)
Daniel Buikema Fjærtoft,
Gas
Reform and the Industrial Lobby: Gas Price Dependency of the Russian Steel
Industry. RUSSCASP Working Paper, December 2009, 28 p. (Access
restricted)
Andreas Benedictow, Daniel Fjærtoft and Ole
Løfsnæs, 'An
Econometric Macro Model of the Russian Economy'. RUSSCASP Working
Paper, December 2009. (Full report, with annexes, available
here).
Daniel
Fjærtoft and Helge Blakkisrud, 'Exit State Corporations?
Exploring the legacy of Putins state capitalism'.
RUSSCASP Working Paper, December 2009, 25 p.
Roger Johansen:
Russland - En elefant i glassmagasinet?
Russiske gassrelasjoner med Ukraina ('Russia - an Elephant in the China Shop?
Russian Gas Relations with Ukraine'). FNI Report 12/2009. Lysaker, FNI,
2009, 84 p. In Norwegian. (Master thesis)
Grant Dansie, Marc
Lanteigne and Indra Øverland: Dilemmas for
Decision-makers: Reducing Energy Subsidies in China, India and Russia.
RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2009, 26 p. (Access
restricted)
Hilde Kutschera and Indra Øverland: Pricing Pain: Prospects for
reducing subsidies for natural gas in Russia. RUSSCASP Working Paper,
September 2009, 24 p. (Access restricted)
Arild Moe and Valery
Kryukov: Petroleum
exploration in Russia a policy appraisal. RUSSCASP Working
Paper, September 2009, 25 p. (Access restricted)
Heidi
Kjærnet: Strategic Resources,
Strategic Players: The Role of National versus International Oil Companies in
Post-Soviet Eurasia. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2009, 16 p.
(Access restricted)
Pavel K. Baev: Conceptualizing
energy insecurity in the EU's Southern flank. RUSSCASP Working Paper,
September 2009, 13 p.
Jakub M. Godzimirski and Elana Wilson Rowe: Developments in
Energy Discourses in the Early Days of the Putin-Medvedev Tandem.
RUSSCASP Working Paper, January 2009, 28 p.
Valery Kryukov and Arild
Moe: Russian
Petroleum Policy and Resources Management - Harmony or Conflict?
RUSSCASP Working Paper, December 2008, 27 p. (Access
restricted)
Daniel Buikema Fjærtoft:
Monetary Policy in
Russia and Effects of the Financial Crisis. RUSSCASP Working Paper,
November 2008, 35 p.
Nils August Andresen: Public Choice Theory,
Semiauthoritarian Regimes and Energy Prices: A Preliminary Report.
RUSSCASP Working Paper, October 2008, 16 p.
Bjørn
Brunstad: Making Sense of a
Different Place Cross-disciplinary Knowledge Integration in
RussCasp. RUSSCASP Working Paper, August 2008, 14
p.
Pavel K. Baev: The
East-West Maneuvering in Russias Energy Policy Could Oil and Gas
Exports to China Endanger Europes Energy Security? RUSSCASP
Working Paper, August 2008, 14 p.
Pavel K. Baev: Russia Makes a Move in the
Caucasus and Looks Beyond. RUSSCASP Working Paper, August 2008,
6 p.
Indra Øverland and Kyrre Elvenes Brækhus: Sino-Russian
Cooperation in the Petroleum Sector. RUSSCASP Working Paper, 2008, 21
p. (Access restricted)
Arild Moe and Elana Wilson Rowe:
Northern Offshore Oil and Gas Resources: Russian
Policy Challenges and Approaches. RUSSCASP Working Paper, June 2008, 21
p.
Morten Anker og Per Sonnerby: Russian
Revenue Management under Vladimir Putin. RUSSCASP Working Paper, June
2008, 25 p.
Pavel K. Baev: Resisting the Urge to Compete: Prospects for
U.S.-Russian Cooperation in Central Asia. RUSSCASP Working
Paper, May 2008, 18 p.
Commentary articles and other
non-academic external publications
Lars Lunden, Daniel
Fjærtoft , Indra Øverland:
'Statoil
i Russland: Russlandsavtalen viktig og riktig' ('Statoil in Russia: The
Statoil-Rosneft Deal Important and Right'), Aftenbladet,
15.05.2012.
Pavel K. Baev:
'No
Joy for Putin in Hand-Managing the Post-Election Economy'. Jamestown
Eurasia Daily Monitor, 26.03.2012.
Arild Moe:
'Po tonkomu l'du'
('On Thin Ice'), Nezavisimaya Gazeta, 13.12.2011. In
Russian.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Economic
Stagnation In Russia Becomes Personal for Putin'. Jamestown Eurasia
Daily Monitor, 11.10.2011.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Putin's
Energy games Turn Increasingly Erratic'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily
Monitor, 28.03.2011.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Russia
Tries to Exploit European Disunity'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily
Monitor, 06.12.2010.
Arild Moe and Anne-Kristin Jørgensen:
'Delelinja er alt nå
på stell?' ('The Delimitation Line Is Everything Now in
Order?'). Nordlys, 07.12.2010. In Norwegian.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Medvedev
Re-energizes Russian Caspian Policy in Baku'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily
Monitor, 07.09.2010.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Medvedevs
Ineffectual Foreign Policy Lacks Putins Firm Hand. Jamestown
Eurasia Daily Monitor, 17.05.2010.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Russian
Economy Failing to Modernize'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor,
13.04.10.
Arild Moe: 'Shtokman fortsatt
interessant' ('Shtokman Still of Interest'), Nordlys,
29.03.2010. In Norwegian.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Putins
Long Decade Continues Despite Medvedevs
Modernization'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor,
29.03.10.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Medvedev
Discards the Ambition of Energy Super-Power'. Jamestown
Eurasia Daily Monitor, 08.03.10.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Russia
Cannot Learn Any Crisis Lessons and Lapses Into Putinism'. Jamestown
Eurasia Daily Monitor, 01.02.10.
Pavel K. Baev:
'The
Russian-Ukrainian Gas Truce: Far from a European Energy Peace'.
Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 11.01.10.
Pavel K. Baev:
'China
Trumps Gazprom'. The Moscow Times, 17.12.2009.
Jakub M.
Godzimirski:
'The
role of the Arctic in Russian energy strategy in Europe'. Baltic Rim
Economies, No 6, 11.12.09.
Pavel K. Baev,
'Medvedev
Smiles to Europe, While Putin Stamps his Authority'. Jamestown Eurasia
Daily Monitor, 23.11.09.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Ten
Years at the Helm: Putin Holds a Photo Shoot and Visits Turkey'.
Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 10.08.09.
Arild Moe,
'Sjtokman hva skjer?'
('Shtokman What is Happening?'), Nordlys, 24.07.09. In
Norwegian.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Gazprom
Stays the Course Under Putin's "Manual Management"'. Jamestown Eurasia
Daily Monitor, 29.06.09.
Roger Johansen:
'Russland med
Gazprom i hånd' ('Gazprom as a Political Weapon?'), Nordlys,
28.05.09. In Norwegian.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Putin
Raises the Stakes in his Black Sea Gas Gamble'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily
Monitor, 20.05.09.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Medvedev's
Macro-European Ambitions Ring Hollow'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily
Monitor, 27.04.09.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Gazprom
Turns the Crisis Into an Opportunity -and a New Crisis'. Jamestown
Eurasia Daily Monitor, 13.04.09.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Russian
Gas Offensive Tests EU Energy Plans'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily
Monitor, 30.03.09.
Indra Øverland:
'Georgia
og Russland: Konflikten i Sør-Ossetia' ('Georgia and Russia: The
Conflict in South Ossetia'). Hvor hender det?, 16.02.2009. In
Norwegian.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Putin
Retains Initiative in the Gas Dialogue with Europe'. Jamestown Eurasia
Daily Monitor, 09.02.09
Pavel K. Baev:
'Russias
Sinking Economy and Wandering Politics'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily
Monitor, 26.01.09.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Gazprom's
War Has Damaged Russian Interests'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor,
19.01.09.
Pavel K. Baev:
'A
War Like No Other: Putin Mishandles Another Gas Conflict'. Jamestown
Eurasia Daily Monitor, 12.01.09.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Russia's
Slow Start into a Post-Prosperity Year'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily
Monitor, 05.01.09.
Pavel Baev:
'A
Trap for Medvedev in the TNK-BP Conflict'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily
Monitor, 24.06.08.
Pavel Baev:
'The
Putin-Medvedev Duo Gets back to Energy Business'. Jamestown Eurasia
Daily Monitor 03.06.08
Morten Anker:
'Toppen kan
være nådd' ('The Peak May be Reached'). Dagbladet,
15.05.2008. In Norwegian.
Bjørn Brunstad:
'Supermakten
Russland' ('Russia the Superpower'). Dagbladet, 27.02.08. In
Norwegian.
Pavel Baev:
'Putin
and Medvedev Open the Bulgarian Gate for GazProm'. Jamestown Eurasia
Daily Monitor, 22.01.08.
Pavel Baev:
'Will
Medvedev's Ascencion Solve Gazprom's Problems?', Jamestown Eurasia Daily
Monitor 14.01.08.
Research notes and other self-published
products
RussCasp
Russia Update 1/2010: 'The Russian Economy on Its Way Out of the
Crisis'
Indra Øverland: Forecast: Shale Gales Blowing across
Russia? RUSSCASP Research Note. 5 February 2010.
RussCasp Russia Update 2/2009:
'The Russian Economy in Crisis'
RussCasp Russia Update 1/2009:
'Financial Crisis Turned Global'
Pavel K. Baev: Gazprom's Next War: Could the EU be the Chosen
Target?. RUSSCASP Research Note, 15 January 2009.
Pavel K. Baev:
Putin's Elite Consensus Tested by the
Deepening Crisis. RUSSCASP Research Note, 19 October 2008.
Arild
Moe: Status of Legislation for
Foreign Investment in the Russian Petroleum Sector and on the Continental
Shelf. RUSSCASP Research Note, 22 April
2008.
Powerpoint presentations etc See
here
Activities
Strategic
Forum Workshop 10: Outlook for Reform in the Russian Gas
Sector Lysaker (Oslo), 2 March 2012
Strategic Forum Workshop
9: Rosnefts
Deals: Will the offshore surge bring opportunity for foreign oil companies or
will development remain trapped in fiscal limbo? Lysaker (Oslo), 7
November 2011 (access restricted)
Strategic Forum Workshop
8: Discussion of statements from RAO-CIS; Presentation of
report on New Deals for Foreign Involvement in Russian Offshore
E&P St. Petersburg, 14 September 2011
Open conference (in
cooperation with St. Petersburg State Mining University): Oil and Gas Resources of the Arctic:
Strategies of Development and Cooperation St. Petersburg, 12 September
2011
Strategic Forum Workshop 7: Russian
Interests, Options and Intentions for the Previously Disputed Area and
Beyond Lysaker (Oslo), 28 September 2010
Strategic Forum Workshop
5: Russian and CIS Gas Supplies: What Is New and Can
We Draw Up a Complete Picture? Lysaker (Oslo), 21 October
2009
Strategic Forum Workshop 4: The Financial
crisis and Russian petroleum developments the High North, Shtokman and
Russian gas strategy Oslo, 4 February 2009
Strategic Forum
Workshop 2: Role of the State in Management of
Petroleum Resources and Revenue: Russian and Norwegian Approaches and
Experiences Moscow, 23 September 2008
Strategig Forum
Workshop 1: The Medvedev Administration's First
Beginnings: What Are the Signs so Far? Oslo, 4 June
2008
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Media appearances:
Jakub M.
Godzimirski:
'-
Statoil har vært naive' ('- Statoil has been Naive'), E24,
13.08.2012. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Proverka
forumom' ('Test Forum'), ekspert.ru, 04.06.2012. In
Russian.
Arild Moe:
'Analytiker:
Ikke åpenbart at Statoil forlater Sjtokman' ('Analyst: Not Obvious that
Statoil will Leave Shtokman'), E24, 25.05.2012. In
Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Amnesty
criticises Statoil over Rosneft deal', Aftenbladet,
14.05.2012.
Arild Moe: 'Ekspert udivlen tem chto Fedinskoye i
Tsentral'no-Berentsevskoye mestorozhdeniya poluchila "ENI", a ne "Statoil"'
('Expert surprised that ENI and not Statoil got Fedinskoye and Central-Barents
fields'), oilru.com, 11.05.2012. In Russian.
Arild Moe:
'Questions
Rise over Big Oil Deal', Views and News from Norway,
09.05.2012.
Arild Moe:
'- Statoil får de
minst attraktive delene' ('- Statoil Gets the Least Attractive Parts'),
Dagens Næringsliv, 08.05.2012. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Statoils
gigantavtale med Rosneft: - Ugunstige og risikable forhold' ('Statoil's Giant
Agreement with Rosneft: - Unfavourable and Risky Conditions'), Teknisk
Ukeblad, 08.05.2012. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'-
Det er gigantiske leteområder med et gigantisk potensial' ('- Gigantic
Acreage with a Gigantic Potential'), E24, 07.05.2012. In
Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Symbolprosjektet
i Russland' ('Shtokman: The Symbol Project in Russia'), Oilinfo,
13.04.2012. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Én måned
til Shtokman-deadline' ('One Month until Shtokman Deadline'), Teknisk
Ukeblad, 09.11.2011. In Norwegian.
Indra Øverland:
'Nord
Stream will make Europe more secure, RT,
08.11.2011.
Arild Moe: 'Lukoil eyes ex-disputed area',
BarentsNova, 20.09.2011.
Arild Moe:
'Russlands
største oljeselskap med en fot på norsk sokkel' ('Russland Largest
Oil Company Gains Foothold on the Norwegian Continental Shelf'),
E24, 16.08.2011. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Ingen Barents-aktivitet
før 2013' ('No Barents Activity until 2013'), Teknisk
Ukeblad, 15.06.2011. In Norwegian. Arild Moe:
'Bez ostanovki'
('Without Stop'), Expert.ru, 18.04.2011. In Russian.
Arild
Moe: 'V
tovarischakh soglase est' ('Agreement among comrades'), Expert.ru,
18.04.2011. In Russian.
Arild Moe:
'-
Statoil vil slite med å tjene penger på Stockman' ('- Statoil Will
Have a Hard Time Earning Money on Shtokman'), E24, 03.04.2011. In
Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Avviser nok en
Shtokman-utsettelse' ('Statoil Denies another Shtokman Postponement'),
Teknisk Ukeblad, 22.02.2011. In Norwegian.
Pavel K. Baev:
'Gazprom:
A 'dinosaur' slow to react to global change', Alberta Oil,
01.02.2011.
Arild Moe:
'Der
9-Billionen-Dollar-Schatz unter dem Eis' ('The 9-Billion Dollar Treasure Under
the Ice'), Frankfurt Allgemeine Zeitung, 20.01.2011. In
German.
Jakub M. Godzimirski: 'Forsker: Vil by
på mange problemer' ('Researcher: Shtokman Project Will Face Many
Problems'), Aftenposten, 07.01.2011. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Russians
want access to Norwegian oil', Barents Observer,
04.01.2011.
Arild Moe:
'Russerne vil inn i
norsk olje' ('The Russians Want to Participate in Norwegian Petroleum
Production'), Teknisk Ukeblad, 03.01.2011. In
Norwegian.
Jakub M. Godzimirski & Arild Moe:
'Kritisk
til russisk milliardeventyr' ('Americans Sceptic about Norway's Shtokman
Adventure'), Aftenposten, 21.12.2010. In Norwegian.
Arild
Moe: 'Vil sikre
Europa eigen gass' ('Will Provide Europe with Its Own Gas'),
forskning.no, 14.10.2010. In Norwegian.
Jakub M.
Godzimirski: 'Neftyanoe
budushchee Arktiki proyasnilos' ('The Oil Future of the Arctic
Decided'), Rosbalt, 16.09.2010. In Russian.
Arild Moe:
'Missiya
vipolnima' ('Mission Possible'), Expert.ru, 06.09.2010. In
Russian.
Arild Moe: 'LNG på Shtokman
forblir en drøm' ('Shtokman LNG Remains a Dream'), Dagens
Næringsliv, 09.08.2010. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Energiforsker:
Tøffere for Russlands naboer' ('Energy Researcher: Tougher Times Ahead
for Russia's Neighbours'), Research Council of Norway News,
23.06.2010. In Norwegian.
Indra Øverland:
' Ingen ny,
kald gasskrise' ('- Not a New, Cold Gas Crisis'), 23.06.2010. In
Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Olje kan ha
skapt enighet' ('Oil May Have Led to Agreement'), Dagsavisen,
28.04.2010. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Vet ikke hvor
store rikdommer som venter i nord' ('Don't Know What Riches Awaits in the
North'), E24, 27.04.2010. In Norwegian.
Jakub M. Godzimirski:
'Rosiya i
Norvegiya podelili morye' ('Russia and Norway Shared the Sea'),
Vedomosti, 27.04.2010, In Russian.
Arild Moe:
'Tror
på utbygging om 15 år' ('Believes in Petroleum Development in 15
Years'), Finnmark Dagblad, 27.04.2010. In Norwegian.
Arild
Moe: 'Åpner for
mulig olje-bonanza' ('Will Open up for a Possible Oil Bonanza'), Dagens
Næringsliv, 27.04.2010. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'-
Er trolig enorme gassressurser der' ('- The Areas Probably Contain Vast Gas
Resources'), Dagbladet, 27.04.2010. In Norwegian.
Jakub
Godzimirski: '-
Medvedev vil be Stoltenberg om gasshjelp' ('- Medvedev Will Ask Stoltenberg for
Gas Help'), Nettavisen, 20.04.2010. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
Europa trenger gass
fra Sibir ('Europe Needs Siberian Gas'), forskning.no, 29.03.2010.
In Norwegian.
Pavel K. Baev:
Kiev
Softening Stance on Pipelines. The Moscow Times,
22.03.2010.
Jakub Godzimirski:
Usikker
fremtid for Shtokman ('Uncertain Future for Shtokman'), Aftenposten,
28.01.10. In Norwegian.
Jakub Godzimirski:
NUPI
og Statoil tror på Sjtokman ('NUPI and Statoil Believe in Shtokman'),
NRK, 28.01.10. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Svart
gull i aust' ('Black Gold in the East'), Research Council of Norway
News, 11.01.2010. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe and Elana Wilson Rowe:
'Neppe stor fart på
russisk sokkel' ('Russian Shelf Probably Not to Be Developed Quickly'),
NTB, 16 August 2009. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Lærer av
Telenors Russland-mareritt' ('Learning from Telenor's Russia Nightmare'),
Dagsavisen, 22 July 2009. In Norwegian.
Jakub M. Godzimirski:
'Kan bli ny
gasskrise' ('There May Be a New Gas Crisis'), Dagsavisen, 22 June
2009. In Norwegian.
Jakub M. Godzimirski:
'Ruslands gaspression giver bagslag'
('Russian Gas Pressure Leads to Backlash'). Information, 2 June
2009. In Danish.
Arild Moe:
'Nye ressursanslag for Barentshavet fra US Geological Survey' ('New Resource Estimates for The Barents Sea from USGS'), (web radio), Verdt å vite - NRK P2, 29 May 2009. In Norwegian.
Helge Blakkisrud: 'Russland
varsler krig om oljeressurser' ('Russia Warns of War over Oil Resources'),
Adressavisen, 14 May 2009. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Norja
epäilee Shtokmanin maakaasukentän toteutumista' ('Norway Doubts
Whether Shtokman Gas Field Will Materialise'). Teknikka &
Talous, 4 March 2009. In Finnish.
Jakub M. Godzimirski:
'Russlands
nye politiske våpen' ('Russia's New Political Weapon'),
Aftenposten, 11 January 2009. In Norwegian.
Indra
Øverland:
'Desperat
etter penger: Gasskonflikten er et tegn på økonomisk desperasjon'
(Desperate for Money: Gas Conflict is a Sign of Economic Desperation'),
Dagbladet, 7 january 2009. In Norwegian.
Indra Øverland:
'- EU bør ta
rekninga' ('- EU Should Pay for the Ukraine'), NRK, 7 January 2009.
In Norwegian.
Jakub M. Godzimirski:
'Hard
maktkamp om gass til Europa' ('Tough Power Struggle Over Gas to Europe'),
Aftenbladet, 6 January 2009. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Gasskonflikt mellom
Russland og Ukraina' ('The Gas Conflict between Russia and the Ukraine')
(web radio), NRK Dagsnytt 18, 2 January 2009. In
Norwegian.
Indra Øverland and Arild Moe:
Gazprom har
lånetrøbbel ('Gazprom Has Problems Borrowing'), E24, 21
December 2008. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Problemer
med Prirazlomnoe?' ('Problems with Prirazlomnoye?'), Oilinfo, 19
December 2008. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Mnogofaktornaya
stoimost mestorozhdeniy' ('The Multifactored Value of Fields'), NG
Energiya, 9 December 2008. In Russian.
Arild Moe:
'Sjtokman-prisen
eksploderer' ('The Price of Shtokman Explodes'), Teknisk Ukeblad, 24
October 2008. In Norwegian.
Helge Blakkisrud:
'EUs toppmøte
og Russland' (EU's Summit and Russia'), NTB, 2 September 2008. In
Norwegian.
Jakub Godzimirski:
'Mener
StatoilHydro må passe seg' ('Thinks StatoilHydro Should Be Careful'),
Stavanger Aftenblad, 26 August 2008. In Norwegian.
Jakub
Godzimirski and Arild Moe:
'-
Risky to Invest in Russia', Barents Observer, 26 August
2008.
Jakub Godzimirski: 'Mener StatoilHydro
må være på vakt' ('Thinks StatoilHydro Should Be on the
Alert'), Dagens Næringsliv, 25 August 2008. In
Norwegian.
Helge Blakkisrud:
'Russische
Militärflüge bei Lofoten auf Niveau des Kalten Krieges' ('Russian
Military Planes off Lofoten at Cold War Levels'), Die Welt, 23
August 2008. In German.
Arild Moe:
'StatoilHydro-interesse for
Jamal' ('StatoilHydro Interested in Yamal'), Teknisk Ukeblad, 20
August 2008. In Norwegian.
Per Ove Eikeland:
'Gass kan bli
mindre populær i Europa' ('Natural Gas to Loose Popularity in
Europe?'), Aftenbladet, 27 May 2008. In Norwegian.
Helge
Blakkisrud: 'Medvedev tar
over' (Medvedev Takes Over'), BT, 7 May 2008. In
Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Gir
Gazprom og Rosneft enerett' ('Russia Gives Gazprom and Rosneft Exclusive Rights
to Offshore Resources'), Dagens Næringsliv, 17 April 2008. In
Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Avdramatiserer
om Shtokman' ('Playing down Shtokman Investment Worries'),
Økonomisk Rapport, 4 April 2008. In Norwegian.
Jakub Godzimirski:
'Russlands
nye gassvåpen' (Russia's New Gaz Weapon'), VG, 26 February
2008. In Norwegian.
Arild Moe:
'Sår
tvil om Shtokman' ('Doubts about Shtokman'), PETRO & Industri, 14
February 2008. In Norwegian. |
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