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RUSSCASP RESEARCH:

Oil and Gas Developments in Russia

Global energy security is crucially dependent on Russian exports of oil and gas. The country's resources gives Russia significant market potential for international oil and gas companies who see accessable resources decline around the world. However, while Russia has become ever more oil dependent, output has ceased to grow and many now question whether Russian oil production has peaked. If oil prices do not remain record high, Russia will run a budget and current account deficit in only a couple years if output is not boosted.

RUSSCASP looks into the drivers behind Russian petroluem development and policy – applying economic and policy perspectives to sectoral issues, macrodynamics and geopolitics.


Publications

Academic publications

Kryukov, Valeriy and Arild Moe, 'The Russian Oil Sector'. In Michael Alexeev and Shlomo Weber (eds), The Oxford Handbook of the Russian Economy. New York, Oxford University Press, 2013, pp. 341-362.

Kryukov, Valeriy and Arild Moe, 'The Russian Gas Sector'. In Michael Alexeev and Shlomo Weber (eds), The Oxford Handbook of the Russian Economy. New York, Oxford University Press, 2013, pp. 363-382.

Steven A. Gabriel, Arild Moe, Knut Einar Rosendahl and Marina Tsygankova, 'The Likelihood and Potential Implications of a Natural Gas Cartel'. In Roger Fouquet (ed), Handbook on Energy and Climate Change. Cheltenham (UK), Edward Elgar, 2013, pp. 86-102.

Special section on the Arctic in EKO - All-Russian Economic Journal, 4 (466) 2013, including:
 Daniel Fjærtoft and Lars Lunden: 'Dvadtsat' let osvoeniya, a nefti do sikh por net - Prirazlomnoe, pervyj muchitel'ny arkticheskiy shelfovyj proekt Rossii' ('Twenty years of development and still no oil: Prirazlomnoe - Russia's troublesome first Arctic offshore project') pp. 56-77.
 Pavel Baev: 'Neftegazovye problemy vo vneshney politike Rossii' ('Oil and Gas Problems in Russia's Foreign Policy'), pp. 78-93.
 A brief introduction to RussCasp by Arild Moe, pp. 56-57.

Andreas Benedictow, Daniel Fjærtoft and Ole Løfsnæs, 'Oil dependency of the Russian economy: An econometric analysis'. Economic Modelling, Vol 32, 2013, pp. 400-428.

Indra Øverland and Hilde Kutschera: 'Subsidised Energy and Hesitant Elites in Russia'. In John-Andrew McNeish and Owen Logan (eds): Flammable Societies: Studies on the Socio-Economics of Oil and Gas, Pluto Press, 2012, pp. 201-218.

Indra Overland, Jakub Godzimirski, Lars Petter Lunden and Daniel Fjaertoft: 'Rosneft's offshore partnerships: the re-opening of the Russian petroleum frontier?'. Polar Record, online version, 02.04.2012, 14 p.

Marte Ulvestad and Indra Overland: 'Natural Gas and CO2 price variation: Impact on the relative cost-efficiency of LNG and pipelines'. International Journal of Environmental Studies, Vol 69, No 3, pp. 407-426, 2012, ISSN 0020-7233.

Jakub M. Godzimirski and Ekaterina Demakova: 'Russian External Energy Strategy: Opportunities and Constraints'. In Caroline Kuzemko, Andreas Goldthau, Andrei Belyi and Michael Keating (eds): Dynamics of Energy Governance in Europe and Russia, Palgrave Macmillan, 2012, pp. 149 -168.

Julia S.P. Loe and Olga Ladehaug: 'Reducing gas flaring in Russia: Gloomy outlook in times of economic insecurity', Energy Policy, Vol 50, November 2012, pp. 507-517.

Indra Overland, Jakub Godzimirski, Lars Petter Lunden and Daniel Fjaertoft, 'Rosneft's offshore partnerships: the re-opening of the Russian petroleum frontier?'. Polar Record, online version, 02.04.2012, 14 p.

Arild Moe, Daniel Fjærtoft and Indra Øverland: 'Space and Timing: 'Why was the Barents Sea Delimitation Dispute Resolved in 2010?', Polar Geography, No 3, Vol 34, 2011, pp. 145-162. (Access restricted)

Jakub M. Godzimirski: 'Russlands eksterne energistrategi: Utfordringer og muligheter'. Nordisk Østforum, No 2, 2011, pp.117-138.

Jakub M. Godzimirski, 'Russie - Scandinavie: les liaisons dangereuse?'. Outre-Terre, No 1, 2011, pp.57-74.

Indra Overland and Hilde Kutschera: 'Pricing Pain: The Politics of Natural Gas for Russian Households'. Europe-Asia Studies, No 2, Vol 63, 2011, pp. 311-329.

Indra Øverland: 'Kooperation statt Konfrontation: Štokman, Jamal und Russlands Energiepolitik in der Arktis'. Osteuropa, No 2-3, Vol 61, 2011, pp. 129-142.

Robert Orttung and Indra Overland: 'Russia and the Formation of a Gas Cartel'. Problems of Post-Communism, No 3, Vol 58, 2011, pp. 53-66.

Robert Orttung and Indra Overland: 'A limited toolbox: Explaining the constraints on Russia's foreign energy policy'. Journal of Eurasian Studies, No 1, Vol 2, 2011, pp. 74-85.

Victor Jensen and Indra Overland: 'Et blikk på Sjtokmanprosjektets blindsone: fransk-russiske relasjoner'. Internasjonal politikk, No 3, Vol 69, 2011, pp. 387-411.

Indra Øverland: 'La politique énergétique de la Russie en Arctique'. Études internationales, No 2, Vol 42, 2011, pp. 145-158.

Andrei Belyi, Indra Øverland and Anna Vishnyakova: 'Challenges to Russia's post-Rao UES energy paradigm: a window of opportunity for sustainable market development', Journal of World Energy Law and Business, No 2, Vol 4, 2011, pp. 181-192.

Julie Wilhelmsen and Elana Wilson Rowe (eds): Russia's Encounter with Globalization: Actors, Processes and Critical Moments, Basingstoke/New York, Palgrave Macmilllan, 2011, 248 p.

Julie Wilhelmsen and Elana Wilson Rowe: 'Introduction'. In Julie Wilhelmsen and Elana Wilson Rowe (eds): Russia's Encounter with Globalization: Actors, Processes and Critical Moments, Basingstoke/New York, Palgrave Macmilllan, 2011, pp. 1-14.

Elana Wilson Rowe: 'Encountering Climate Change'. In Julie Wilhelmsen and Elana Wilson Rowe (eds): Russia's Encounter with Globalization: Actors, Processes and Critical Moments, Basingstoke/New York, Palgrave Macmilllan, 2011, pp. 40-70.

Julian Cooper: 'Russia and the Global Financial-Economic Crisis'. In Julie Wilhelmsen and Elana Wilson Rowe (eds): Russia's Encounter with Globalization: Actors, Processes and Critical Moments, Basingstoke/New York, Palgrave Macmilllan, 2011, pp. 71-96.

Indra Øverland: 'Close Encounters: Russian Policymaking and International Oil Companies'. In Julie Wilhelmsen and Elana Wilson Rowe (eds): Russia's Encounter with Globalization: Actors, Processes and Critical Moments, Basingstoke/New York, Palgrave Macmilllan, 2011, pp. 134-158.

Jakub M. Godzimirski: 'Nord Stream: Globalization in the Pipeline?'. In Julie Wilhelmsen and Elana Wilson Rowe (eds): Russia's Encounter with Globalization: Actors, Processes and Critical Moments, Basingstoke/New York, Palgrave Macmilllan, 2011, pp. 159-184.

Julie Wilhelmsen and Elana Wilson Rowe: 'Conclusion'. In Julie Wilhelmsen and Elana Wilson Rowe (eds): Russia's Encounter with Globalization: Actors, Processes and Critical Moments, Basingstoke/New York, Palgrave Macmilllan, 2011, pp. 216-230.

Jakub M. Godzimirski: Nordic Approaches to Energy Security: Lessons for Ukraine?, SUREC Policy Paper, Bratislava, Research Centre of the Slovak Foreign Policy Association, 2011, 37 p.

Arild Moe: 'Energeticheskie strategii Rossii i Norvegii v Barentsevom more' ('Russian and Norwegian Energy Strategies in the Barents Sea'). In N.A. Simoniya (ed): Arktika - Interesy Rossii: Energetika, Ekologiya. Moscow, EkoPolitika, 2011, pp. 71-104. In Russian.

Indra Øverland: 'Russia's Arctic Energy Policy'. International Journal, No 4, Vol 65, 2010, pp. 865-878.

Grant Dansie, Marc Lanteigne and Indra Øverland: 'Reducing Energy Subsidies in Russia, China and India: Dilemmas for Decision-Makers'. Sustainability, No 2, Vol 2, 2010, pp. 475-493.

Arild Moe: 'Russian and Norwegian Petroleum Strategies in the Barents Sea'. Arctic Review on Law and Politics, Vol 1, No 2, 2010, pp. 225-248.

Pavel K. Baev and Indra Øverland: 'The South Stream versus Nabucco pipeline race: Geopolitical and economic (ir)rationales and political stakes in mega-project'. International Affairs, Vol 86, No 5, 2010, pp. 1075-1090. (Access restricted)

Arild Moe: 'Russisk Rulett' ('Russian Roulette'). In Peter Arbo and Bjørn Hersoug (eds), Oljevirksomhetens inntog i nord: Næringsutvikling, politikk og samfunn. Oslo, Gyldendal Akademisk, 2010, pp. 282-304. In Norwegian.

Louis Skyner: 'The Reform of the Russian Power Sector: The Rhetoric and Reality', Europe-Asia Studies, No 8, Vol 62, 2010, pp. 1383-1402.

Dmitri Trenin and Pavel K. Baev: The Arctic: A View from Moscow. Washington, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2010, 32 p.

Indra Øverland: 'The Surge in Unconventional Gas: Implications for Russian Export Strategies'. Baltic Rim Economies, No 1, 2010, pp. 18-19.

Indra Øverland: 'Subsidies for Fossil Fuels and Climate and Climate Change: A Comparative Perspective'. International Journal of Environmental Studies, Vol 67, No 3, 2010, pp. 273-288.

Indra Øverland: 'The Siberian Curse: A Blessing in Disguise for Renewable Energy?'. Sibirica, Journal of Siberian Studies, Vol 9, No 2, 2010. (Access restricted)

Heidi Kjærnet: 'Strategic resources, strategic players: The role of national versus international oil companies in Post-Soviet Eurasia'. In Maria Freire and Roger Kanet (eds): Key Players and Regional Dynamics in Eurasia: The Return of the 'Great Game'. Basingstoke, Palgrave Macmillan, 2010, pp. 271-289.

Arild Moe and Valery Kryukov, 'Oil Exploration in Russia: Prospects for Reforming a Crucial Sector'. Eurasian Geography and Economics, Vol 51, No 3, 2010, pp. 312-329. (Access restricted)

Indra Øverland, Stina Torjesen and Heidi Kjærnet: 'Introduction. China and Russia: Partners or Firewalls for the Caspian Petro-States?'. In Øverland, I., H. Kjærnet and A. Kendall-Taylor (eds): Caspian Energy Politics: Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan. Routledge, 2010, pp. 93-100.

Heidi Kjærnet: 'Azerbaijani-Russian Relations and the Economization of Foreign Policy'. In Øverland, I., H. Kjærnet and A. Kendall-Taylor (eds): Caspian Energy Politics: Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan. Routledge, 2010, pp. 150-161.

Indra Øverland and Heidi Kjærnet: Russian Renewable Energy. The Potential for International Cooperation. Ashgate, 2009, 190 p.

Daniel Buikema Fjærtoft, 'Russian Gas - Has the 2009 economic crisis changed Russian gas fundamentals?', BOFIT Online, pp. 9-21, 10/2009.

Morten Anker, 'The High North and Russo-Norwegian bilateral economic relations', BOFIT Online, pp. 32-41, 10/2009.

Daniel Buikema Fjærtoft, 'Reflections on Modeling the Russian Economy', BOFIT Online, pp. 49-53, 10/2009.

Indra Øverland and Kyrre Brækhus, 'Chinese Perspectives on Russian Oil and Gas'. In Jeronim Perovic, Robert Orttung and Andreas Wenger (eds), Russian Energy Power and Foreign Relations. London, Routledge, 2009, pp. 201-221. (Access restricted)

Arild Moe and Elana Wilson Rowe, 'Northern Offshore Oil and Gas Resources: Policy Challenges and Approaches'. In Elana Wilson Rowe (ed), Russia and the North. Ottawa, University of Ottawa Press, 2009, pp. 107-128. (Access restricted)

Jakub Godzimirski: 'The Northern Dimension of the Russian Gas Strategy'. Russian Analytical Digest, No 58, April 2009, pp. 2-4.

Elana Wilson Rowe, 'Who is to Blame? Agency, Causality, Responsibility and the Role of Experts in Russian Framings of Global Climate Change'. Europe-Asia Studies, Vol 61, No 4, 2009, pp. 593-619. (Access restricted)

Nina Poussenkova: 'Gazprom and Russia's Great Eastern Pipe-Dreams'. Russian Analytical Digest, No 58, pp. 5-10.

Heidi Kjærnet: 'The Energy Dimension of Azerbaijani–Russian Relations: Maneuvering for Nagorno-Karabakh'. In Russian Analytical Digest, No 56, 3 March 2009 (Special issue: 'Russia’s Energy Relations to Its Caspian Neighbors'), pp. 2-5.

Stina Torjesen: 'Russia and Kazakhstan: A Special Relationship'. In Russian Analytical Digest, No 56, 3 March 2009 (Special issue: 'Russia’s Energy Relations to Its Caspian Neighbors'), pp. 6-8.

Indra Øverland: 'Natural Gas and Russia–Turkmenistan Relations'. In Russian Analytical Digest, No 56, 3 March 2009 (Special issue: 'Russia’s Energy Relations to Its Caspian Neighbors'), pp. 9-13.

Jeronim Perovic and Robert W. Orttung: 'Russia's Role for Global Energy Security'. In Andreas Wenger, Robert Orttung and Jeronim Perovic (eds): Energy and the Transformation of International Relations: Toward a New Producer-Consumer Framework. Oxford University Press, 2009, pp. 117-159. (Access restricted)

Indra Øverland: 'The Dynamics of Energy in the Eurasian Context' (book review). Nordisk østforum, Vol 22, No 1, 2008, pp. 117-119. In Norwegian.

Indra Øverland: 'Shtokman and Russia's Arctic Petroleum Frontier'. Russian Analytical Digest, No. 33, January 2008, pp. 8-12.

Elana Wilson Rowe: 'Regional Influence in Oil and Gas Development: A Case Study of Sakhalin'. Russian Analytical Digest, No 33, January 2008, pp. 18-21.

Jakub Godzimirski: 'Putin and Post-Soviet Identity: Building Blocks and Buzz Words'. Problems of Post-Communism, Vol 55, No 5, 2008, pp. 14-27.


RUSSCASP Working Papers

Lars Petter Lunden and Daniel Fjærtoft, Twenty years of development and still no oil: Prirazlomnoe - Russia’s troublesome first Arctic offshore project. RUSSCASP Working Paper, December 2012.

Henrik Bergsager: China, Russia and Central Asia: The energy dilemma. FNI Report 16/2012. Lysaker, FNI, 2012, 20 p.

Julia S.P. Loe: Russian Gas Reform under Putin III: Stakeholder Perspectives on the New Commercial Reality. RUSSCASP Working Paper, June 2012. (Access restricted)

Daniel Fjærtoft and Lars Petter Lunden: Failing Liberal Reforms and Gazprom’s Entry to the Power Sector. RUSSCASP Working Paper, June 2012. (Access restricted)

Lars Petter Lunden and Daniel Fjærtoft: Gazprom vs. other Russian gas producers: Friends or foes? RUSSCASP Working Paper, June 2012. (Access restricted)

Morten Anker and Bjørn Brunstad: Building Scenarios for Russia. RUSSCASP Working Paper, June 2012.

Valeriy Kryukov and Arild Moe: The natural gas sector in Russia: Structure, role and challenges. RUSSCASP Working Paper, March 2012. (Access restricted)

Julia S.P. Loe and Olga Ladehaug: Reducing Gas Flaring in Russia: Gloomy Outlook in Times of Economic Insecurity. RUSSCASP Working Paper, February 2012. (Access restricted)

Heidi Kjærnet: Actors, Interests and Trade-Offs: Explaining the Status of Reform in the Russian Gas Sector. RUSSCASP Working Paper, January 2012, 25 p. (Access restricted)

Indra Øverland, Lars Petter Lunden, Daniel Fjærtoft and Jakub Godzimirski: Open for Business? Rosneft’s Offshore Surge. RUSSCASP Working Paper, November 2011, 21 p. (Access restricted)

Michael Bradshaw: Russian energy dilemmas: energy security, globalization and climate change. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2011, 29 p. (Access restricted)

Lars Petter Lunden and Daniel Fjærtoft, Russian Exports to the EU - What is the Impact of Domestic Gas Price Reform?. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2011, 21 p. (Access restricted)

Valeriy Kryukov and Arild Moe: Development of the Russian Oil Sector. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2011, 24 p. (Access restricted)

Pavel K. Baev: The Shrinking Eurasian Energy Security Agenda: Taking Stock of the Over-Blown Debates. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2011, 13 p. (Access restricted)

Ryan Kennedy and Lydia Tiede: Oil and Good Governance: Do Oil Resources Lead to Weak Institutions? RUSSCASP Working Paper, April 2011, 34 p. (Access restricted)

Ryan Kennedy and Lydia Tiede: Nationalization of the Oil Sector: A Political Economy Perspective. RUSSCASP Working Paper, April 2011, 23 p. (Access restricted)

Lars-Christian Talseth: A Dialogue of the Deaf: The EU-Russia Energy Dialogue 2000-2009. RUSSCASP Working Paper, April 2011, 86 p. (Access restricted)

Daniel Buikema Fjærtoft and Arild Moe, The Barents Sea Delimitation Agreement: Explanations and Implications. RUSSCASP Working Paper, October 2010, 27 p. (Access restricted)

Pavel K. Baev and Indra Øverland: The South Stream versus Nabucco pipeline race: Geopolitical and economic (ir)rationales and political stakes in mega-project. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2010, 22 p. (Access restricted)

Robert Orttung and Indra Øverland, A Re-evaluation of GECF and the Prospects for Cartelisation in Light of New Developments in Global Gas Markets. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2010, 23 p. (Access restricted)

Victor Jensen and Indra Øverland, Total, fransk-russiske relasjoner og implikasjoner for Sjtokman-prosjektet og norske interesser ('Total, French-Russian Relations and Implications for the Shtokman Project and Norwegian Interests'), RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2010, 34 p. In Norwegian. (Access restricted)

Turid Vaage and Indra Øverland: Effekten av konflikter mellom Russland og Vesten på det økonomiske forholdet mellom Norge og Russland ('The Effect of Russian-Western Conflicts on Norwegian-Russian Economic Relations'), RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2010, 19 p. In Norwegian. (Access restricted)

Jakub M. Godzimirski, Strategic Decision Making in Russian Energy Sector: The Case of Nord Stream. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2010, 62 p. (Access restricted)

Tonje Hulbak Røland: Associated Petroleum Gas in Russia: Reasons for Non-utilization. FNI Report 13/2010. Lysaker, FNI, 2010, 53 p. (Master thesis)

Morten Anker, Ida Aronsen, Daniel Fjærtoft and Hans Traaholt, A Tailored Country Risk Model for Russia. RUSSCASP Working Paper, May 2010, 26 p.

Indra Øverland, The Politics of Russia's Arctic Hydrocarbons. RUSSCASP Working Paper, April 2010, 12 p. (Access restricted)

Daniel Buikema Fjærtoft, Gas Reform and the Industrial Lobby: Gas Price Dependency of the Russian Steel Industry. RUSSCASP Working Paper, December 2009, 28 p. (Access restricted)

Andreas Benedictow, Daniel Fjærtoft and Ole Løfsnæs, 'An Econometric Macro Model of the Russian Economy'. RUSSCASP Working Paper, December 2009. (Full report, with annexes, available here).

Daniel Fjærtoft and Helge Blakkisrud, 'Exit State Corporations? Exploring the legacy of Putin’s “state capitalism”'. RUSSCASP Working Paper, December 2009, 25 p.

Roger Johansen: Russland - En elefant i glassmagasinet? Russiske gassrelasjoner med Ukraina ('Russia - an Elephant in the China Shop? Russian Gas Relations with Ukraine'). FNI Report 12/2009. Lysaker, FNI, 2009, 84 p. In Norwegian. (Master thesis)

Grant Dansie, Marc Lanteigne and Indra Øverland: Dilemmas for Decision-makers: Reducing Energy Subsidies in China, India and Russia. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2009, 26 p. (Access restricted)

Hilde Kutschera and Indra Øverland: Pricing Pain: Prospects for reducing subsidies for natural gas in Russia. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2009, 24 p. (Access restricted)

Arild Moe and Valery Kryukov: Petroleum exploration in Russia – a policy appraisal. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2009, 25 p. (Access restricted)

Heidi Kjærnet: Strategic Resources, Strategic Players: The Role of National versus International Oil Companies in Post-Soviet Eurasia. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2009, 16 p. (Access restricted)

Pavel K. Baev: Conceptualizing energy insecurity in the EU's Southern flank. RUSSCASP Working Paper, September 2009, 13 p.

Jakub M. Godzimirski and Elana Wilson Rowe: Developments in Energy Discourses in the Early Days of the Putin-Medvedev Tandem. RUSSCASP Working Paper, January 2009, 28 p.

Valery Kryukov and Arild Moe: Russian Petroleum Policy and Resources Management - Harmony or Conflict? RUSSCASP Working Paper, December 2008, 27 p. (Access restricted)

Daniel Buikema Fjærtoft: Monetary Policy in Russia and Effects of the Financial Crisis. RUSSCASP Working Paper, November 2008, 35 p.

Nils August Andresen: Public Choice Theory, Semiauthoritarian Regimes and Energy Prices: A Preliminary Report. RUSSCASP Working Paper, October 2008, 16 p.

Bjørn Brunstad: Making Sense of a Different Place – Cross-disciplinary Knowledge Integration in RussCasp. RUSSCASP Working Paper, August 2008, 14 p.

Pavel K. Baev: The East-West Maneuvering in Russia’s Energy Policy – Could Oil and Gas Exports to China Endanger Europe’s Energy Security? RUSSCASP Working Paper, August 2008, 14 p.

Pavel K. Baev: Russia Makes a Move in the Caucasus – and Looks Beyond. RUSSCASP Working Paper, August 2008, 6 p.

Indra Øverland and Kyrre Elvenes Brækhus: Sino-Russian Cooperation in the Petroleum Sector. RUSSCASP Working Paper, 2008, 21 p. (Access restricted)

Arild Moe and Elana Wilson Rowe: Northern Offshore Oil and Gas Resources: Russian Policy Challenges and Approaches. RUSSCASP Working Paper, June 2008, 21 p.

Morten Anker og Per Sonnerby: Russian Revenue Management under Vladimir Putin. RUSSCASP Working Paper, June 2008, 25 p.

Pavel K. Baev: Resisting the Urge to Compete: Prospects for U.S.-Russian Cooperation in Central Asia. RUSSCASP Working Paper, May 2008, 18 p.


Commentary articles and other non-academic external publications

Lars Lunden, Daniel Fjærtoft , Indra Øverland: 'Statoil i Russland: Russlandsavtalen viktig og riktig' ('Statoil in Russia: The Statoil-Rosneft Deal Important and Right'), Aftenbladet, 15.05.2012.

Pavel K. Baev: 'No Joy for Putin in Hand-Managing the Post-Election Economy'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 26.03.2012.

Arild Moe: 'Po tonkomu l'du' ('On Thin Ice'), Nezavisimaya Gazeta, 13.12.2011. In Russian.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Economic Stagnation In Russia Becomes Personal for Putin'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 11.10.2011.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Putin's Energy games Turn Increasingly Erratic'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 28.03.2011.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Russia Tries to Exploit European Disunity'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 06.12.2010.

Arild Moe and Anne-Kristin Jørgensen: 'Delelinja – er alt nå på stell?' ('The Delimitation Line – Is Everything Now in Order?'). Nordlys, 07.12.2010. In Norwegian.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Medvedev Re-energizes Russian Caspian Policy in Baku'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 07.09.2010.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Medvedev’s Ineffectual Foreign Policy Lacks Putin’s Firm Hand. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 17.05.2010.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Russian Economy Failing to Modernize'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 13.04.10.

Arild Moe: 'Shtokman – fortsatt interessant' ('Shtokman – Still of Interest'), Nordlys, 29.03.2010. In Norwegian.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Putin’s “Long Decade” Continues Despite Medvedev’s “Modernization”'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 29.03.10.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Medvedev Discards the Ambition of “Energy Super-Power”'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 08.03.10.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Russia Cannot Learn Any Crisis Lessons and Lapses Into Putinism'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 01.02.10.

Pavel K. Baev: 'The Russian-Ukrainian Gas Truce: Far from a European Energy Peace'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 11.01.10.

Pavel K. Baev: 'China Trumps Gazprom'. The Moscow Times, 17.12.2009.

Jakub M. Godzimirski: 'The role of the Arctic in Russian energy strategy in Europe'. Baltic Rim Economies, No 6, 11.12.09.

Pavel K. Baev, 'Medvedev Smiles to Europe, While Putin Stamps his Authority'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 23.11.09.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Ten Years at the Helm: Putin Holds a Photo Shoot and Visits Turkey'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 10.08.09.

Arild Moe, 'Sjtokman – hva skjer?' ('Shtokman – What is Happening?'), Nordlys, 24.07.09. In Norwegian.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Gazprom Stays the Course Under Putin's "Manual Management"'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 29.06.09.

Roger Johansen: 'Russland med Gazprom i hånd' ('Gazprom as a Political Weapon?'), Nordlys, 28.05.09. In Norwegian.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Putin Raises the Stakes in his Black Sea Gas Gamble'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 20.05.09.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Medvedev's Macro-European Ambitions Ring Hollow'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 27.04.09.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Gazprom Turns the Crisis Into an Opportunity -and a New Crisis'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 13.04.09.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Russian Gas Offensive Tests EU Energy Plans'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 30.03.09.

Indra Øverland: 'Georgia og Russland: Konflikten i Sør-Ossetia' ('Georgia and Russia: The Conflict in South Ossetia'). Hvor hender det?, 16.02.2009. In Norwegian.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Putin Retains Initiative in the Gas Dialogue with Europe'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 09.02.09

Pavel K. Baev: 'Russia’s Sinking Economy and Wandering Politics'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 26.01.09.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Gazprom's War Has Damaged Russian Interests'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 19.01.09.

Pavel K. Baev: 'A War Like No Other: Putin Mishandles Another Gas Conflict'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 12.01.09.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Russia's Slow Start into a Post-Prosperity Year'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 05.01.09.

Pavel Baev: 'A Trap for Medvedev in the TNK-BP Conflict'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 24.06.08.

Pavel Baev: 'The Putin-Medvedev Duo Gets back to Energy Business'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor 03.06.08

Morten Anker: 'Toppen kan være nådd' ('The Peak May be Reached'). Dagbladet, 15.05.2008. In Norwegian.

Bjørn Brunstad: 'Supermakten Russland' ('Russia the Superpower'). Dagbladet, 27.02.08. In Norwegian.

Pavel Baev: 'Putin and Medvedev Open the Bulgarian Gate for GazProm'. Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor, 22.01.08.

Pavel Baev: 'Will Medvedev's Ascencion Solve Gazprom's Problems?', Jamestown Eurasia Daily Monitor 14.01.08.


Research notes and other self-published products

RussCasp Russia Update 1/2010: 'The Russian Economy on Its Way Out of the Crisis'

Indra Øverland: Forecast: Shale Gales Blowing across Russia? RUSSCASP Research Note. 5 February 2010.

RussCasp Russia Update 2/2009: 'The Russian Economy in Crisis'

RussCasp Russia Update 1/2009: 'Financial Crisis Turned Global'

Pavel K. Baev: Gazprom's Next War: Could the EU be the Chosen Target?. RUSSCASP Research Note, 15 January 2009.

Pavel K. Baev: Putin's Elite Consensus Tested by the Deepening Crisis. RUSSCASP Research Note, 19 October 2008.

Arild Moe: Status of Legislation for Foreign Investment in the Russian Petroleum Sector and on the Continental Shelf. RUSSCASP Research Note, 22 April 2008.


Powerpoint presentations etc
See here


Activities

Seminar:
New Thrust or Dead End? Conditions for Oil Companies in Russia
Oslo, 13 November 2013

Strategic Forum Workshop 10:
Outlook for Reform in the Russian Gas Sector
Lysaker (Oslo), 2 March 2012

Strategic Forum Workshop 9:
Rosneft’s Deals: Will the offshore surge bring opportunity for foreign oil companies or will development remain trapped in fiscal limbo?
Lysaker (Oslo), 7 November 2011 (access restricted)

Strategic Forum Workshop 8:
Discussion of statements from RAO-CIS; Presentation of report on New Deals for Foreign Involvement in Russian Offshore E&P
St. Petersburg, 14 September 2011

Open conference (in cooperation with St. Petersburg State Mining University):
Oil and Gas Resources of the Arctic: Strategies of Development and Cooperation
St. Petersburg, 12 September 2011

Strategic Forum Workshop 7:
Russian Interests, Options and Intentions for the Previously Disputed Area and Beyond
Lysaker (Oslo), 28 September 2010

Strategic Forum Workshop 5:
Russian and CIS Gas Supplies: What Is New and Can We Draw Up a Complete Picture?
Lysaker (Oslo), 21 October 2009

Strategic Forum Workshop 4:
The Financial crisis and Russian petroleum developments – the High North, Shtokman and Russian gas strategy
Oslo, 4 February 2009

Strategic Forum Workshop 2:
Role of the State in Management of Petroleum Resources and Revenue: Russian and Norwegian Approaches and Experiences
Moscow, 23 September 2008

Strategig Forum Workshop 1:
The Medvedev Administration's First Beginnings: What Are the Signs so Far?
Oslo, 4 June 2008

Related pages:
    Oil and gas developments in the Caspian region

Media appearances:

Jakub M. Godzimirski: '- Statoil har vært naive' ('- Statoil has been Naive'), E24, 13.08.2012. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Proverka forumom' ('Test Forum'), ekspert.ru, 04.06.2012. In Russian.

Arild Moe: 'Amnesty criticises Statoil over Rosneft deal', Aftenbladet, 14.05.2012.

Arild Moe: 'Ekspert udivlen tem chto Fedinskoye i Tsentral'no-Berentsevskoye mestorozhdeniya poluchila "ENI", a ne "Statoil"' ('Expert surprised that ENI and not Statoil got Fedinskoye and Central-Barents fields'), oilru.com, 11.05.2012. In Russian.

Arild Moe: 'Questions Rise over Big Oil Deal', Views and News from Norway, 09.05.2012.

Arild Moe: '- Statoil får de minst attraktive delene' ('- Statoil Gets the Least Attractive Parts'), Dagens Næringsliv, 08.05.2012. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Statoils gigantavtale med Rosneft: - Ugunstige og risikable forhold' ('Statoil's Giant Agreement with Rosneft: - Unfavourable and Risky Conditions'), Teknisk Ukeblad, 08.05.2012. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: '- Det er gigantiske leteområder med et gigantisk potensial' ('- Gigantic Acreage with a Gigantic Potential'), E24, 07.05.2012. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Én måned til Shtokman-deadline' ('One Month until Shtokman Deadline'), Teknisk Ukeblad, 09.11.2011. In Norwegian.

Indra Øverland: 'Nord Stream will make Europe more secure’, RT, 08.11.2011.

Arild Moe: 'Lukoil eyes ex-disputed area', BarentsNova, 20.09.2011.

Arild Moe: 'Ingen Barents-aktivitet før 2013' ('No Barents Activity until 2013'), Teknisk Ukeblad, 15.06.2011. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Bez ostanovki' ('Without Stop'), Expert.ru, 18.04.2011. In Russian.

Arild Moe: 'V tovarischakh soglase est' ('Agreement among comrades'), Expert.ru, 18.04.2011. In Russian.

Arild Moe: '- Statoil vil slite med å tjene penger på Stockman' ('- Statoil Will Have a Hard Time Earning Money on Shtokman'), E24, 03.04.2011. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Avviser nok en Shtokman-utsettelse' ('Statoil Denies another Shtokman Postponement'), Teknisk Ukeblad, 22.02.2011. In Norwegian.

Pavel K. Baev: 'Gazprom: A 'dinosaur' slow to react to global change', Alberta Oil, 01.02.2011.

Arild Moe: 'Der 9-Billionen-Dollar-Schatz unter dem Eis' ('The 9-Billion Dollar Treasure Under the Ice'), Frankfurt Allgemeine Zeitung, 20.01.2011. In German.

Jakub M. Godzimirski: 'Forsker: Vil by på mange problemer' ('Researcher: Shtokman Project Will Face Many Problems'), Aftenposten, 07.01.2011. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Russians want access to Norwegian oil', Barents Observer, 04.01.2011.

Arild Moe: 'Russerne vil inn i norsk olje' ('The Russians Want to Participate in Norwegian Petroleum Production'), Teknisk Ukeblad, 03.01.2011. In Norwegian.

Jakub M. Godzimirski & Arild Moe: 'Kritisk til russisk milliardeventyr' ('Americans Sceptic about Norway's Shtokman Adventure'), Aftenposten, 21.12.2010. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Vil sikre Europa eigen gass' ('Will Provide Europe with Its Own Gas'), forskning.no, 14.10.2010. In Norwegian.

Jakub M. Godzimirski: 'Neftyanoe budushchee Arktiki proyasnilos’' ('The Oil Future of the Arctic Decided'), Rosbalt, 16.09.2010. In Russian.

Arild Moe: 'Missiya vipolnima' ('Mission Possible'), Expert.ru, 06.09.2010. In Russian.

Arild Moe: 'LNG på Shtokman forblir en drøm' ('Shtokman LNG Remains a Dream'), Dagens Næringsliv, 09.08.2010. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Energiforsker: Tøffere for Russlands naboer' ('Energy Researcher: Tougher Times Ahead for Russia's Neighbours'), Research Council of Norway News, 23.06.2010. In Norwegian.

Indra Øverland: '– Ingen ny, kald gasskrise' ('- Not a New, Cold Gas Crisis'), 23.06.2010. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Olje kan ha skapt enighet' ('Oil May Have Led to Agreement'), Dagsavisen, 28.04.2010. In Norwegian.

Jakub M. Godzimirski: 'Rosiya i Norvegiya podelili morye' ('Russia and Norway Shared the Sea'), Vedomosti, 27.04.2010, In Russian.

Arild Moe: 'Tror på utbygging om 15 år' ('Believes in Petroleum Development in 15 Years'), Finnmark Dagblad, 27.04.2010. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Åpner for mulig olje-bonanza' ('Will Open up for a Possible Oil Bonanza'), Dagens Næringsliv, 27.04.2010. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: '- Er trolig enorme gassressurser der' ('- The Areas Probably Contain Vast Gas Resources'), Dagbladet, 27.04.2010. In Norwegian.

Jakub Godzimirski: '- Medvedev vil be Stoltenberg om gasshjelp' ('- Medvedev Will Ask Stoltenberg for Gas Help'), Nettavisen, 20.04.2010. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: Europa trenger gass fra Sibir ('Europe Needs Siberian Gas'), forskning.no, 29.03.2010. In Norwegian.

Pavel K. Baev: Kiev Softening Stance on Pipelines. The Moscow Times, 22.03.2010.

Jakub Godzimirski: Usikker fremtid for Shtokman ('Uncertain Future for Shtokman'), Aftenposten, 28.01.10. In Norwegian.

Jakub Godzimirski: NUPI og Statoil tror på Sjtokman ('NUPI and Statoil Believe in Shtokman'), NRK, 28.01.10. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Svart gull i aust' ('Black Gold in the East'), Research Council of Norway News, 11.01.2010. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe and Elana Wilson Rowe: 'Neppe stor fart på russisk sokkel' ('Russian Shelf Probably Not to Be Developed Quickly'), NTB, 16 August 2009. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Lærer av Telenors Russland-mareritt' ('Learning from Telenor's Russia Nightmare'), Dagsavisen, 22 July 2009. In Norwegian.

Jakub M. Godzimirski: 'Kan bli ny gasskrise' ('There May Be a New Gas Crisis'), Dagsavisen, 22 June 2009. In Norwegian.

Jakub M. Godzimirski: 'Ruslands gaspression giver bagslag' ('Russian Gas Pressure Leads to Backlash'). Information, 2 June 2009. In Danish.

Arild Moe: 'Nye ressursanslag for Barentshavet fra US Geological Survey' ('New Resource Estimates for The Barents Sea from USGS'), (web radio), Verdt å vite - NRK P2, 29 May 2009. In Norwegian.

Helge Blakkisrud: 'Russland varsler krig om oljeressurser' ('Russia Warns of War over Oil Resources'), Adressavisen, 14 May 2009. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Norja epäilee Shtokmanin maakaasukentän toteutumista' ('Norway Doubts Whether Shtokman Gas Field Will Materialise'). Teknikka & Talous, 4 March 2009. In Finnish.

Jakub M. Godzimirski: 'Russlands nye politiske våpen' ('Russia's New Political Weapon'), Aftenposten, 11 January 2009. In Norwegian.

Indra Øverland: 'Desperat etter penger: Gasskonflikten er et tegn på økonomisk desperasjon' (Desperate for Money: Gas Conflict is a Sign of Economic Desperation'), Dagbladet, 7 january 2009. In Norwegian.

Indra Øverland: '- EU bør ta rekninga' ('- EU Should Pay for the Ukraine'), NRK, 7 January 2009. In Norwegian.

Jakub M. Godzimirski: 'Hard maktkamp om gass til Europa' ('Tough Power Struggle Over Gas to Europe'), Aftenbladet, 6 January 2009. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Gasskonflikt mellom Russland og Ukraina' ('The Gas Conflict between Russia and the Ukraine') (web radio), NRK Dagsnytt 18, 2 January 2009. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Mnogofaktornaya stoimost mestorozhdeniy' ('The Multifactored Value of Fields'), NG Energiya, 9 December 2008. In Russian.

Arild Moe: 'Sjtokman-prisen eksploderer' ('The Price of Shtokman Explodes'), Teknisk Ukeblad, 24 October 2008. In Norwegian.

Helge Blakkisrud: 'EUs toppmøte og Russland' (EU's Summit and Russia'), NTB, 2 September 2008. In Norwegian.

Jakub Godzimirski: 'Mener StatoilHydro må passe seg' ('Thinks StatoilHydro Should Be Careful'), Stavanger Aftenblad, 26 August 2008. In Norwegian.

Jakub Godzimirski and Arild Moe: '- Risky to Invest in Russia', Barents Observer, 26 August 2008.

Jakub Godzimirski: 'Mener StatoilHydro må være på vakt' ('Thinks StatoilHydro Should Be on the Alert'), Dagens Næringsliv, 25 August 2008. In Norwegian.

Helge Blakkisrud: 'Russische Militärflüge bei Lofoten auf Niveau des Kalten Krieges' ('Russian Military Planes off Lofoten at Cold War Levels'), Die Welt, 23 August 2008. In German.

Arild Moe: 'StatoilHydro-interesse for Jamal' ('StatoilHydro Interested in Yamal'), Teknisk Ukeblad, 20 August 2008. In Norwegian.

Per Ove Eikeland: 'Gass kan bli mindre populær i Europa' ('Natural Gas to Loose Popularity in Europe?'), Aftenbladet, 27 May 2008. In Norwegian.

Helge Blakkisrud: 'Medvedev tar over' (Medvedev Takes Over'), BT, 7 May 2008. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Gir Gazprom og Rosneft enerett' ('Russia Gives Gazprom and Rosneft Exclusive Rights to Offshore Resources'), Dagens Næringsliv, 17 April 2008. In Norwegian.

Arild Moe: 'Avdramatiserer om Shtokman' ('Playing down Shtokman Investment Worries'), Økonomisk Rapport, 4 April 2008. In Norwegian.

Jakub Godzimirski: 'Russlands nye gassvåpen' (Russia's New Gaz Weapon'), VG, 26 February 2008. In Norwegian.



RUSSCASP
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