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Forget Greenland: This Arctic NATO Island Already Has a Russian Presence

The Wall Street Journal, 20 February, 2026.

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‘It’s obvious that Svalbard is the second or third domino that falls if we’re in an actual NATO-Russia conflict. I still don’t think it’s the most likely scenario, but it’s much more likely now than it was a few months ago, because of the United States undermining both NATO and territorial sovereignty,’ says Andreas Østhagen to WSJ.

Related FNI People

Andreas Østhagen
Research Director Arctic and Ocean Politics

Related FNI Project(s)

Project name	Status
Norwegian Centre on Geopolitics (GEOPOL)	Ongoing