- Director (on leave) / Research Professor+47 99796020
Climate change and other environmental factors are currently causing variability in the spatial distribution of fish stocks in polar waters.
In the Barents Sea, cod is expanding northeastwards, while in the Norwegian Sea significant changes in abundance, distribution and migration patterns can be observed in pelagic species such as mackerel.
In the Southern Ocean, the combined effect of increasing temperatures with associated declines in sea ice, ocean acidification and changes in circulation is likely to affect the geographical distribution of krill.
These developments put established management regimes under pressure. In this truly interdisciplinary research endeavour, world-leading marine biologists, international lawyers and political scientists join efforts to study the resilience of Arctic and Antarctic marine resource management institutions to large-scale shifts of major marine stocks.
- How is climate change affecting distributional shifts of polar fish stocks - are there any general patterns of movement, adaptability and recruitment?
- To what extent do shifts in migratory patterns influence the fit between the spatial scope of existing national and international management regimes and the fishing activities they seek to govern - and how will they influence the effectiveness of the regimes?
- How does continued effectiveness require adaptation within the complexes of institutions that co-govern commercial activities in polar marine ecosystems?
Based on case studies from the Barents Sea, the Norwegian Sea and the Southern Ocean, a meta-analysis will be performed to synthesize the overall impact of climate, fisheries and species interaction.
Finally, the project will explore how comparative case study analysis and agent-based modelling (ABM) can be combined to examine institutional responses to plausible ecosystem development trajectories.
The project is managed by the Department of Political Science at the University of Oslo. FNI is responsible for the study of the effectiveness and resilience of the established management regimes.
Project period: 2016-2019
- Research Council of Norway (POLARPROG Programme)
PEER-REVIEWED ARTICLES AND CHAPTERS
In Mark Nuttall, Torben R. Christensen and Martin Siegert (eds), Routledge Handbook of the Polar Regions. Abingdon, Routledge, 2018, pp. 348-356.
In Svein Vigeland Rottem and Ida Folkestad Soltvedt (eds), Arctic Governance: Energy, Living Marine Resources and Shipping. Volume 2. London, I.B. Tauris, 2018, pp. 138-161.
European View, Vol 17, 2017, pp. 1-11
The Arctic Institute, 19.06.2018.
High North News. 03.04.18.
NRK Ytring, 31.1.2017. In Norwegian
Fiskeribladet Fiskaren, 12.09.2016. In Norwegian.
- Norway and the European Union: Arctic partners or rivals?
- Central Arctic Ocean fisheries: A complex reality
- Join FNI in Arendal this summer
- Bridging the gap: China and Norway find common ground in the Arctic
- EU and Norway in heated conflict over Svalbard snow crab
- Towards new governance in the Arctic?
- FNI at Arctic Partnership Week
Norway risks having to share Svalbard resources with the EU
High North News. 8.11.2017.
Norge risikerer å måtte dele store ressurser med EU ('Norway risks having to share large resources with the EU')
High North News. 7.11.2017. In Norwegian.
Kan bli tøffere klima i nord ('Relations in the North may harden')
Fikseribladet (paper edition). 25.10.2017. In Norwegian.
Arctique. En marge de la conférence Arctic Frontiers, les ressources halieutiques dans le Grand Nord ('At the sidelines of the Arctic Frontiers: on the fisheries in the High North')
France Culture (radio). 28.2.2017. In French and partly English.
Snøkrabbe-krangel mellom Norge og EU ('Snow crab quarrel between Norway and the EU')
Dagsnytt 18, NRK. 8.2.2017. In Norwegian.
Krabbeslaget om Barentshavet (The 'snow crab battle' of the Barents Sea')
Dag og Tid. 3.2.2017. In Norwegian.
Får likevel fiske i Smutthullet ('Still allowed to fish in the Loophole')
Fiskeribladet Fiskaren, 30.09.2016. In Norwegian.
Snøkrabbefiske i Svalbardsonen: – En helt ny nøtt for Norge ('Snow crab fisheries in the Svalbard Zone: – A new dilemma for Norway')
Fiskeribladet Fiskaren, 21.09.2016. In Norwegian.
Historisk arrestasjon etter ulovlig snøkrabbefiske ('Historic arrest after illegal snowcrab fishing')
NRK Finnmark, 19.07.2016. In Norwegian